Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.3% | 12.7% | -10.6 | ✓ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -32 (43-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Reed * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| P. Gardner * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| John Schoof * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Kager * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Jones | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marko Vasic | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Austin Carroll | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Yilret Yiljep | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justice Montgomery | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Jackson * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Malik Harmon * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Ben Millaud-Meunier * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Greg Brown * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Earl Brown * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Stephon Mosley | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dominique Major | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ronnie Drinnon | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Stephon Whyatt | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Georgios Angelou | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Wrencher | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aric Gresko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter