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2013-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 16 19 -
K. Knorr * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 5 4 9 -
B. Venturini * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 1 11 22 -
T. Dunbar * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 7 9 -
W. Kelly * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 3 2 12 23 -
K. Alter 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
E. Alade 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
G. Vermeer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Loupos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. McLaurin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hemphill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Earl Brown * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 1 11 22 -
Malik Harmon * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 4 0 4 20 25 -
Ben Millaud-Meunier * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
Stephon Mosley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 11 -
Ollie Jackson * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Dominique Major 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Ronnie Drinnon 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 15 -
Greg Brown 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
Stephon Whyatt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter