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SMU

Also known as: SMU Mustangs, SMU
Program History

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

71.0
PPG
67.0
Opp
+7.7
Margin
40.5%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
31.8
RPG
11.3
APG
11.5
TO
78.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1324 (#65) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1324 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1126 (#38) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +32.2 (#74) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +24.8 (#29) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.652 (#31) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.4 More → 0.402 (#154) NetEff -3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.742 (#27) AdjNet +9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.743 (#27) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.689 (#41) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.899 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.878 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 27 More → 1269 (#34) RD 130 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs McNeese Cowboys W 86 - 62
2021-11-12 @ Oregon Ducks L 63 - 86
2021-11-15 vs Northwestern State Demons W 95 - 48
2021-11-21 vs Missouri Tigers L 75 - 80
2021-11-22 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 70 - 76
2021-11-28 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 74 - 67
2021-12-01 vs UNLV Rebels W 83 - 64
2021-12-04 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 84 - 72
2021-12-08 vs Dayton Flyers W 77 - 69
2021-12-19 @ New Mexico Lobos W 90 - 72
2022-01-02 vs UCF Knights W 72 - 60
2022-01-12 vs South Florida Bulls W 77 - 65
2022-01-15 @ Tulane Green Wave W 75 - 66
2022-01-20 @ Memphis Tigers W 70 - 62
2022-01-26 @ South Florida Bulls W 74 - 54
2022-01-29 vs Temple Owls W 69 - 61
2022-02-05 @ Wichita State Shockers L 57 - 72
2022-02-09 vs Houston Cougars W 85 - 83
2022-02-12 @ East Carolina Pirates W 80 - 66
2022-02-16 @ Temple Owls L 57 - 64
2022-02-20 vs Memphis Tigers W 73 - 57
2022-02-23 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 75 - 61
2022-02-27 @ Houston Cougars L 61 - 75
2022-03-03 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 76 - 71
2022-03-06 vs Tulane Green Wave W 74 - 68
2022-03-11 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 83 - 58
2022-03-12 vs Memphis Tigers L 63 - 70

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Davis K. Davis - 14 36.6 20.5 3.2 4.5 1.4 0.1 2.4 7.6 19.7 210 6.6 7.9 44.3 43.4 88.9 1.5 114.1 55.2
M. Weathers M. Weathers F 23 28.6 13.1 7.0 1.6 0.5 0.6 1.4 3.0 18.4 229 6.9 10.0 43.5 29.4 68.6 2.14 165.1 47.1
M. Weathers M. Weathers G 23 27.0 11.3 5.8 2.3 1.5 1.5 3.1 2.3 17.1 229 6.9 10.0 50.0 45.5 80.0 2.14 186.8 54.8
D. Douglas D. Douglas G 1 25.0 10.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 1 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0.23 0 0
E. Bandoumel E. Bandoumel - 23 31.4 9.6 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 1.1 3.5 11.4 197 6.0 8.0 38.3 35.3 88.9 1.26 129.5 49.4
Z. Nutall Z. Nutall - 27 23.9 7.2 3.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.0 2.4 9.4 98 3.0 5.0 33.3 32.5 56.2 0.53 133.5 43.2
T. Clark T. Clark F 20 13.9 4.4 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.9 7.7 87 3.0 8.2 72.2 0 100.0 0.44 213.2 72.2
G. Muscadin G. Muscadin F 1 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 8 0.7 1.3 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
Zhuric Phelps Zhuric Phelps G 22 15.5 4.0 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.9 1.0 5.9 118 3.7 10.0 33.3 11.1 20.0 0.84 191.8 35.7
J. Allen-Tovar J. Allen-Tovar F 1 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 31 1.0 1.7 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
J. Young Jr. J. Young Jr. - 17 7.1 2.4 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 4.4 -91 -3.6 -6.8 75.0 0 40.0 2.05 330.6 75.0
J. Smith J. Smith - 23 10.7 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 3.0 -61 -3.2 -9.6 66.7 55.6 0.0 1.71 205.0 87.5
S. Todorovic S. Todorovic - 11 7.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.1 35 1.5 7.1 54.5 54.5 100.0 0.18 101.0 81.8
G. Harris G. Harris G 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 20 3.3 27.5 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
I. Jasey I. Jasey F 10 14.0 1.7 3.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.6 5.4 34 2.3 6.8 50.0 0 0 0.45 141.7 50.0
F. Agunanne F. Agunanne - 19 5.7 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9 53 2.4 13.7 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
Tadarius Jacobs Tadarius Jacobs - 2 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1 0.1 1.6 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
D. McBride D. McBride - 8 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 150.0 100.0
T. Lundblade T. Lundblade G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. Spencer S. Spencer G 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -61 -2.8 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.92 0 0
H. Koval H. Koval C 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12 0.4 1.2 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
B. Matos B. Matos F 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -48 -1.7 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
R. Elvin R. Elvin - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.4 -8.7 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG