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2021-11-12

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Bandoumel 32 5-14 4-8 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 14 6 -
K. Davis 31 2-8 1-6 4-4 1 5 0 0 3 9 4 -
M. Weathers 18 1-4 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 2 6 4 -
T. Clark 18 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
S. Todorovic 16 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
I. Jasey 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Z. Phelps 13 2-5 0-1 0-1 1 3 1 0 2 4 2 -
M. Weathers 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
J. Young Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Nutall 30 0-8 0-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Smith 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. McBride 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Agunanne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams Jr. * 35 8-14 1-4 2-4 5 3 2 0 2 19 13 -
J. Young * 34 6-13 1-2 5-7 3 2 0 0 0 18 10 -
D. Harmon * 30 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 5 3 -
Q. Guerrier * 25 4-6 1-3 0-2 6 1 1 1 0 9 12 -
W. Richardson * 20 7-12 4-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 18 9 -
R. Soares 28 3-8 1-3 3-5 7 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
F. Kepnang 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
N. Bittle 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Wur 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Reichle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter