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Rice

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Rice Owls, Rice
Program History
Coach: Scott Pera

2021 Team Stats (6 games)

76.0
PPG
69.7
Opp
+6.3
Margin
47.2%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
37.7
RPG
16.8
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.4
Adj PPG
73.3
Adj Opp PPG
#189
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 931 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1000 (#160) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → -2.1 (#186) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → -2.5 (#196) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.412 (#213) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.411 (#190) AdjNet -3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.2 More → 0.410 (#190) AdjNet -3.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.458 (#189) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.437 (#237) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.449 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#202) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 25 More → 981 (#177) RD 143 | GP 25

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-27 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 68 - 53
2020-11-28 vs Our Lady of the Lake Saints W 103 - 64
2020-12-03 vs LeTourneau Yellow Jackets W 94 - 74
2020-12-05 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 86 - 64
2020-12-12 @ Houston Cougars - Preview
2020-12-13 vs New Mexico Lobos L 61 - 72
2020-12-15 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 90 - 79
2020-12-19 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 69 - 82
2020-12-21 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 73 - 62
2021-01-01 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 95 - 86
2021-01-02 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 84 - 69
2021-01-08 @ UTEP Miners L 89 - 101
2021-01-09 @ UTEP Miners W 71 - 68
2021-01-15 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 69 - 59
2021-01-16 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 58 - 61
2021-01-22 @ UAB Blazers L 68 - 78
2021-01-23 @ UAB Blazers L 74 - 86
2021-01-28 vs North Texas Mean Green - Postponed
2021-01-29 vs North Texas Mean Green L 74 - 79
2021-01-30 @ North Texas Mean Green - Postponed
2021-01-31 @ North Texas Mean Green L 53 - 79
2021-02-05 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 88 - 62
2021-02-06 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 76 - 68
2021-02-12 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 71 - 77
2021-02-13 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 66 - 89
2021-02-19 vs Marshall Thundering Herd - Preview
2021-02-20 vs Marshall Thundering Herd - Preview
2021-02-21 vs Marshall Thundering Herd - Preview
2021-02-26 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 57 - 101
2021-02-27 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 58 - 79
2021-03-05 vs Our Lady of the Lake Saints W 80 - 77
2021-03-09 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 61 - 52
2021-03-10 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 72 - 68
2021-03-11 @ UAB Blazers L 60 - 73

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quincy Olivari Quincy Olivari - 28 28.7 16.2 5.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 4.4 16.6 7 26 0.3 0.4 42.3 40.3 90.5 1.07 172.0 53.3
Travis Evee Travis Evee - 26 31.0 13.7 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 1.8 3.5 14.3 -10 24 -0.4 -0.5 46.7 50.0 93.8 -1.31 183.4 62.2
Max Fiedler Max Fiedler - 28 28.0 11.2 8.8 3.6 0.9 0.8 2.6 2.1 20.5 36 26 1.4 2.0 64.4 0.0 68.0 2.41 224.3 64.4
Chris Mullins Chris Mullins - 5 30.0 10.6 3.2 2.4 1.2 0.0 2.4 8.2 6.8 26 19 1.4 1.9 51.2 35.7 60.0 -0.73 58.4 57.3
Riley Abercrombie Riley Abercrombie - 6 20.2 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.3 5.3 2.2 -9 26 -0.3 -0.6 34.4 30.4 0.0 -0.34 44.7 45.3
Cameron Sheffield Cameron Sheffield - 28 17.6 4.8 3.1 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.3 7.8 -60 26 -2.3 -5.4 35.1 30.0 83.3 -1.31 159.6 43.2
Mylyjael Poteat Mylyjael Poteat F 3 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.0 4.3 -38 13 -2.9 -11.9 83.3 0 100.0 -1.11 87.2 83.3
C. Havsa C. Havsa G 6 21.0 3.5 2.2 3.7 0.3 0.3 2.2 3.2 4.7 -15 23 -0.7 -1.3 36.8 25.0 100.0 -1.91 50.6 44.7
Payton Moore Payton Moore G 5 8.2 3.4 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.4 2.6 3.2 -12 23 -0.5 -1.8 61.5 0.0 50.0 -0.63 61.2 61.5
Jake Lieppert Jake Lieppert - 15 10.7 2.0 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 2.7 -51 13 -3.9 -15.2 11.1 14.3 50.0 -3.88 151.8 16.7
Ben Moffat Ben Moffat - 7 4.0 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.9 -11 5 -2.2 -24.7 100.0 100.0 50.0 -1.82 103.1 116.7
Tre Clark Tre Clark G 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 20 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -3.07 0 0
Reed Myers Reed Myers - 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG