🐻⬇️🏀

Marshall Thundering Herd 15-7
@
2021-02-20
Rice Owls 15-13

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thu... Rice Owls Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.4% (#103) 38.6% (#204) Marshal... -4.3 73-68
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 60.6% (#67) 39.4% (#160) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 77.9% (#91) 22.1% (#186) Marshal... -6.9 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.6% (#45) 38.4% (#213) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 82.1% (#96) 17.9% (#190) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 82.2% (#96) 17.8% (#190) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 62.2% (#86) 37.8% (#189) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Marshall Thu... Rice Owls
Games 22 27
PPG 79.9 74.1
FG% 47.5% 44.0%
3PT% 36.0% 36.4%
FT% 72.5% 73.9%
RPG 35.4 37.0
APG 15.9 15.3
SPG 7.8 5.3
BPG 5.2 2.1
TOPG 12.0 14.6

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Marshall Thu... Rice Owls
Adj. Off Eff 104.2 98.4
Adj. Def Eff 95.8 101.6
Adj. Net Eff 8.5 -3.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Marshall Thundering Herd Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Taevion Kinsey 19.5 6.2 3.0 0.8 0.3 37.7
Jarrod West 12.5 3.5 6.0 2.5 0.0 34.1
Andrew Taylor 12.0 5.8 4.0 1.5 0.2 33.0
Jannson Williams 9.4 4.3 0.4 0.7 2.0 24.1
Mikel Beyers 8.4 3.4 1.1 0.6 0.8 18.1

Rice Owls Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Travis Evee 13.7 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 31.0
Chris Mullins 10.2 3.5 2.7 0.9 0.1 29.8
Quincy Olivari 16.3 5.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 28.7
Max Fiedler 11.2 8.8 3.6 0.9 0.8 28.0
Riley Abercrombie 7.6 3.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 24.4