Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | UAB Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UAB Blazers +10 (78-68). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mullins * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Quincy Olivari * | 32 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Max Fiedler * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Havsa * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jake Lieppert | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Sheffield | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Payton Moore | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mylyjael Poteat | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tre Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ertel * | 36 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Trey Jemison * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tyreek Scott-Grayson * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tavin Lovan * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kassim Nicholson * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Benjamin | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Quan Jackson | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rongie Gordon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter