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Providence

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Providence
Program History
Coach: Ed Cooley

2022 Team Stats (23 games)

70.4
PPG
66.4
Opp
+5.2
Margin
42.0%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
37.8
RPG
12.4
APG
11.1
TO
77.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1167 (#156) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1385 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1160 (#16) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +34.6 (#50) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +24.9 (#27) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.542 (#51) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.0 More → 0.612 (#88) NetEff +4.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.8 More → 0.662 (#44) AdjNet +5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.8 More → 0.662 (#45) AdjNet +5.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.683 (#43) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.913 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.895 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 32 More → 1366 (#7) RD 102 | GP 32

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Fairfield Stags W 80 - 73
2021-11-11 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 92 - 64
2021-11-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 63 - 58
2021-11-22 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 77 - 72
2021-11-23 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 40 - 58
2021-11-27 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 85 - 71
2021-12-01 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 72 - 68
2021-12-04 vs Rhode Island Rams W 66 - 52
2021-12-07 vs Vermont Catamounts W 68 - 58
2021-12-11 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 68 - 53
2021-12-18 @ UConn Huskies W 57 - 53
2021-12-22 vs Georgetown Hoyas - Preview
2021-12-29 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 70 - 65
2022-01-01 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 70 - 53
2022-01-04 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 56 - 88
2022-01-08 vs St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 73
2022-01-11 @ Creighton Bluejays - Preview
2022-01-15 vs UConn Huskies - Preview
2022-01-18 @ Seton Hall Pirates - Preview
2022-01-20 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 83 - 75
2022-01-23 vs Butler Bulldogs W 69 - 62
2022-01-26 @ Xavier Musketeers W 65 - 62
2022-01-30 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 65 - 63
2022-02-01 @ St. John's Red Storm W 86 - 82
2022-02-06 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 71 - 52
2022-02-12 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 76 - 73
2022-02-15 vs Villanova Wildcats L 84 - 89
2022-02-20 @ Butler Bulldogs W 71 - 70
2022-02-23 vs Xavier Musketeers W 99 - 92
2022-02-26 vs Creighton Bluejays W 72 - 51
2022-03-01 @ Villanova Wildcats L 74 - 76
2022-03-10 vs Butler Bulldogs W 65 - 61
2022-03-11 vs Creighton Bluejays L 58 - 85
2022-03-17 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 66 - 57
2022-03-19 vs Richmond Spiders W 79 - 51
2022-03-25 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 66

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Mitchell T. Mitchell G 1 26.0 15.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 30.0 37.5 100.0 0.72 59.3 45.0
Al Durham Al Durham G 28 34.0 13.6 3.5 3.3 0.6 0.2 2.4 9.9 8.9 120 3.9 4.6 35.3 24.2 81.0 0.67 54.7 39.6
N. Watson N. Watson C 30 27.6 12.8 5.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.1 9.2 9.2 89 2.7 3.9 52.3 0 59.8 0.79 59.1 52.3
J. Bynum J. Bynum - 28 27.9 12.6 3.0 4.1 1.0 0.2 2.1 9.2 9.5 123 4.2 6.1 40.9 40.4 75.2 1.09 58.0 48.3
A.J. Reeves A.J. Reeves G 22 24.4 9.9 2.9 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.8 8.8 5.8 - - - 37.8 38.0 82.1 0.01 53.1 50.5
N. Horchler N. Horchler F 30 33.2 9.4 8.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.6 7.0 12.2 163 4.9 6.2 42.6 37.6 75.0 1.24 62.0 53.8
J. Minaya J. Minaya - 30 33.6 6.5 5.4 1.6 0.9 0.8 1.1 5.3 8.7 - - - 40.9 33.7 56.1 1.25 55.4 50.9
Ed Croswell Ed Croswell - 32 14.9 5.4 4.8 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 3.2 7.8 - - - 63.5 0.0 52.6 0.84 72.1 63.5
A. Breed A. Breed G 32 12.8 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.9 2.6 2.2 68 2.1 6.3 31.0 24.3 79.5 0.51 49.9 36.3
L. Bowman II L. Bowman II - 1 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 108 3.7 5.6 33.3 50.0 0 0.93 50.0 50.0
Brycen Goodine Brycen Goodine - 16 6.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.1 9 0.4 2.8 26.1 22.2 92.3 0.0 48.7 34.8
A. Fonts A. Fonts G 11 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 - - - 75.0 66.7 50.0 - 92.2 100.0
L. Geeter L. Geeter F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
R. Castro R. Castro F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
C. Vogt C. Vogt C 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 32 1.0 2.9 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Z. Pfaffenberger Z. Pfaffenberger F 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 2 0.2 1.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Z. Newkirk Z. Newkirk NA 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 -111 -6.2 -15.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.79 0.0 0.0
O. Olamuyiwa O. Olamuyiwa C 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Matteus Case Matteus Case G 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Fonts L. Fonts - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. O'Haire K. O'Haire - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG