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2021-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 3.6% 96.4% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -4 (53-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Reeves 38 5-12 4-8 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 16 9 -
N. Horchler 30 1-7 0-2 0-3 5 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
N. Watson 30 5-12 0-0 0-1 7 2 1 1 1 10 8 -
Al Durham 28 3-8 0-1 1-3 4 4 1 0 2 7 6 -
J. Minaya 23 0-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Bynum 26 4-9 1-3 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 9 9 -
Ed Croswell 15 5-6 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 11 8 -
A. Breed 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Whaley * 36 4-7 1-2 1-2 7 0 0 2 1 10 11 -
R.J. Cole * 35 5-19 3-9 3-5 5 8 1 0 1 16 10 -
T. Martin * 33 6-14 1-5 2-4 5 1 0 1 2 15 6 -
A. Jackson * 31 3-7 2-2 0-0 14 1 0 1 1 8 16 -
A. Akok * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
T. Polley 24 1-7 1-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Gaffney 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Hawkins 12 0-3 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter