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2021-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 83.7% 16.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.5% 48.5% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Log Adjusted 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: Providence Friars -18 (40-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Shedrick 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 5 1 4 9 -
K. Stattmann 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Poindexter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
I. Milicic Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. McCorkle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Clark * 39 4-12 2-5 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 10 5 -
R. Beekman * 38 2-8 0-0 1-1 4 7 1 2 0 5 11 -
J. Gardner * 36 8-9 0-0 5-5 13 0 0 0 4 21 21 -
A. Franklin * 24 5-7 4-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 14 5 -
F. Caffaro 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 1 2 4 8 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Durham * 38 3-10 1-4 3-4 2 2 0 0 2 10 2 -
N. Horchler * 37 4-8 1-4 5-5 7 2 1 1 0 14 17 -
J. Minaya * 30 0-4 0-3 1-2 2 0 3 1 0 1 3 -
N. Watson * 27 4-11 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 2 8 1 -
J. Bynum * 19 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 3 2 2 2 2 3 -
B. Goodine 19 1-7 1-5 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
Ed Croswell 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Breed 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Reeves 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter