Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars -18 (40-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Shedrick | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Poindexter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Milicic Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McCorkle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 39 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 36 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 24 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Durham * | 38 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| N. Horchler * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Minaya * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| N. Watson * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Bynum * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Goodine | 19 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ed Croswell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Breed | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Reeves | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter