Penn St.-Berks
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 818 (#602) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 768 (#611) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 895 (#681) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -28.8 (#411) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -27.2 (#742) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.131 (#715) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.024 (#64) | NetEff -31.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#762) | AdjNet -35.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.015 (#761) | AdjNet -35.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.077 (#762) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 94.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.197 (#742) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 85.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.133 (#725) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.141 (#725) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 727 (#601) | RD 170 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Penn St.-Schuylkill | L | 87 - 93 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Gallaudet | L | 67 - 84 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Penn St.-York | L | 73 - 89 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Keystone | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wilson | L | 83 - 99 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 94 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 69 - 95 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashawn Dixon | - | 1 | 30.0 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 75.0 | 33.3 | - | 71.7 | 73.8 |
| K'Mari Smith | - | 1 | 34.1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | -53 | -2.9 | -9.2 | 61.1 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.2 | 65.1 | 61.1 |
| Zhaad White | - | 1 | 32.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 74.7 | 66.7 |
| Mike Byfield | - | 1 | 37.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | -82 | -4.3 | -19.6 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 77.8 | -1.38 | 64.0 | 57.1 |
| PJ Murphy | - | 1 | 31.8 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | -115 | -6.1 | -34.6 | 40.0 | 12.5 | 70.0 | 0.63 | 51.5 | 43.3 |
| Marquise McClean | - | 1 | 29.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 64.8 | 61.5 |
| Tre Worsley | - | 1 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 40.0 | 71.4 | - | 52.9 | 46.2 |
| Jden Golding | - | 1 | 38.5 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | -77 | -4.1 | -17.9 | 35.3 | 60.0 | 50.0 | -1.07 | 44.7 | 44.1 |
| Ahmodrion Jones | - | 1 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | -139 | -7.3 | -40.3 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 48.4 | 46.2 |
| Caden Mitchell | - | 1 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 58 | 3.9 | 74.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.26 | 110.9 | 120.0 |
| Tyler Fox | - | 1 | 36.2 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 37.5 | 75.0 | - | 38.1 | 32.1 |
| Quentin Wells | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.3 | 44.4 |
| Tyler Meinel | - | 1 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | -82 | -4.6 | -16.3 | 45.5 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.26 | 46.3 | 45.5 |
| Josh Mingledolph | - | 3 | 26.3 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.7 | 4.7 | -44 | -6.3 | -21.8 | 37.9 | 25.0 | 87.5 | -1.01 | 47.7 | 41.4 |
| Jaedon Mast | - | 3 | 26.5 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 6.7 | 6.0 | -74 | -4.4 | -22.0 | 50.0 | 46.2 | 100.0 | 0.93 | 68.9 | 65.0 |
| Tyler Ditton | - | 1 | 12.4 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -36 | -1.9 | -18.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 59.2 | 62.5 |
| James Barlow | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 66.6 | 80.0 |
| Vincent Fonticoba | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Demetrius Thomas | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 | -44 | -2.8 | -20.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 28.6 | -0.16 | 65.8 | 100.0 |
| Cooper Truskey | - | 2 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | -59 | -3.7 | -65.2 | 41.7 | 36.4 | 0 | -0.57 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Bryce Hensley | - | 1 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 32.5 | 16.7 |
| Antwuan Byrd | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Devin Adams | - | 1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Lee Newton | - | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Peter Cavacini | - | 3 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 58.3 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 3.05 | 75.1 | 70.8 |
| Quentin Wright | - | 3 | 20.3 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 10.3 | -134 | -7.9 | -45.4 | 53.3 | 66.7 | 33.3 | -3.35 | 56.7 | 60.0 |
| Isaiah Cotten | - | 3 | 28.4 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 9.7 | -94 | -6.7 | -54.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.54 | 45.7 | 33.3 |
| Marquis Ferreira | - | 2 | 23.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -131 | -9.4 | -38.5 | 30.8 | 37.5 | 0 | 0.49 | 42.3 | 42.3 |
| Charles Warren | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -49 | -2.3 | -26.5 | 14.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.1 | 30.0 | 14.3 |
| Gabriel Harrison | - | 3 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 3.0 | -47 | -2.9 | -44.5 | 87.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Matthew Gingerich | - | 3 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 4.0 | -124 | -6.9 | -51.0 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.85 | 33.5 | 31.2 |
| Mikko Persia | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Jamze Johnson | - | 1 | 18.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 9.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.69 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Luke Collins | - | 3 | 12.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | -1.0 | -101 | -6.3 | -65.8 | 15.4 | 16.7 | 0 | -2.42 | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Lucian Freeman | - | 3 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -15 | -1.4 | -19.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.74 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Logan Kottinger | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kamdyn Ayers | - | 1 | 24.2 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -70 | -5.0 | -34.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.03 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Salahudin Muhammad | - | 1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sean Murphy | - | 1 | 20.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 144 | 4.8 | 61.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.77 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Conor Patton | - | 1 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -24.1 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.7 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Trey Gould | - | 1 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Miller | - | 1 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 41 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.12 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Henry Michel III | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -15.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Schroeder Kleine | - | 3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -11 | -0.9 | -35.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kamrin Carroll | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Matt Mondoro | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lui Abdeta | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sky Thomas | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jeramiah Maxwell-Lawus | - | 1 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -43 | -2.3 | -26.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Henry | - | 2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Samuel | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Berkay Callan | - | 1 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.9 | 74.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Sepp | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AJ Mieles | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG