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Pacific

Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History

2019 Team Stats (4 games)

61.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
41.3%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
35.8
RPG
10.5
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
67.5
Adj Opp PPG
#200
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 953 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 931 (#278) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -2.2 (#196) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -2.5 (#206) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.321 (#271) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More โ†’ 0.383 (#206) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.2 More โ†’ 0.381 (#207) AdjNet -4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 67.5 More โ†’ 0.450 (#200) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.423 (#257) AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.391 (#230) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.385 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 30 More โ†’ 912 (#233) RD 156 | GP 30

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 74 - 65
2018-11-09 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 83
2018-11-13 vs Stanislaus State Warriors W 91 - 66
2018-11-15 @ Idaho State Bengals W 83 - 76
2018-11-20 @ UNLV Rebels L 70 - 96
2018-11-22 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 74 - 54
2018-11-23 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats L 71 - 73
2018-11-24 vs Elon Phoenix W 65 - 57
2018-11-28 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 78 - 81
2018-12-01 vs Air Force Falcons W 82 - 69
2018-12-05 vs Texas Permian Basin Falcons W 74 - 69
2018-12-10 vs Long Beach State Beach W 74 - 68
2018-12-16 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 79 - 77
2018-12-22 @ Boise State Broncos L 71 - 83
2018-12-29 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 84 - 75
2019-01-03 vs BYU Cougars L 87 - 90
2019-01-05 @ San Diego Toreros L 64 - 73
2019-01-10 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 36 - 67
2019-01-12 @ Portland Pilots W 65 - 57
2019-01-17 vs San Francisco Dons L 52 - 53
2019-01-19 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 57 - 69
2019-01-26 vs Portland Pilots W 74 - 70
2019-01-31 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 42 - 60
2019-02-02 vs Pepperdine Waves W 66 - 59
2019-02-07 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 66 - 78
2019-02-09 @ BYU Cougars L 59 - 69
2019-02-16 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 59 - 64
2019-02-21 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 32 - 58
2019-02-23 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 56 - 63
2019-02-28 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 66 - 86
2019-03-02 @ Pepperdine Waves W 73 - 72
2019-03-07 @ Pepperdine Waves L 53 - 61

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Roberto Gallinat Roberto Gallinat G 27 28.2 15.5 3.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.5 2.3 15.9 -92 12 -7.7 -11.9 41.9 35.1 81.2 -1.82 274.7 52.4
Lafayette Dorsey Lafayette Dorsey G 27 22.1 11.7 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.0 2.0 12.4 -60 12 -5.0 -9.7 52.7 20.0 88.2 -2.34 252.9 55.5
Jahlil Tripp Jahlil Tripp G 27 29.6 10.4 6.0 3.1 1.6 0.1 2.3 1.3 17.5 -77 12 -6.4 -9.3 48.6 12.5 64.7 -0.69 329.6 50.0
Ajare Sanni Ajare Sanni - 16 20.8 9.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.8 1.4 10.4 -23 9 -2.6 -5.6 17.4 9.1 100.0 -1.06 301.5 19.6
Anthony Townes Anthony Townes F 27 23.8 7.2 5.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 1.4 1.4 10.7 -60 12 -5.0 -9.0 67.6 0 75.0 0.6 189.9 67.6
Jeremiah Bailey Jeremiah Bailey F 26 20.6 5.8 3.2 0.4 0.8 0.2 1.3 1.0 8.0 -63 11 -5.7 -10.2 42.3 44.4 50.0 -0.95 282.7 57.7
Khy Kabellis Khy Kabellis G 16 16.3 4.1 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.4 1.5 4.1 -23 7 -3.3 -9.6 33.3 50.0 66.7 -1.12 123.9 43.8
Jahbril Price-Noel Jahbril Price-Noel - 20 14.1 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.1 0.1 1.4 0.8 4.3 -58 10 -5.8 -13.8 20.0 33.3 75.0 -3.73 182.0 23.3
Kendall Small Kendall Small G 26 18.1 2.9 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.1 0.8 4.3 -73 11 -6.6 -17.2 31.8 100.0 33.3 -4.07 154.2 34.1
Zach Cameron Zach Cameron F 27 16.9 2.2 3.8 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 5.7 -45 12 -3.8 -9.7 33.3 0.0 80.0 -0.65 174.4 33.3
Brandon McGhee Brandon McGhee G 22 14.3 2.1 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.3 5.5 -6 9 -0.7 -1.9 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.46 315.9 14.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG