Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (78-66). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahlil Tripp * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Jeremiah Bailey * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Roberto Gallinat * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Townes * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Small * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Cameron | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lafayette Dorsey | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brandon McGhee | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Khy Kabellis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ford * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 31 | - |
| Tanner Krebs * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tommy Kuhse * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Malik Fitts * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hunter * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | - |
| Elijah Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Matthias Tass | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dan Fotu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter