Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +3 (81-78). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Townes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jahlil Tripp * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Roberto Gallinat * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeremiah Bailey * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jahbril Price-Noel * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lafayette Dorsey | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Ajare Sanni | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 37 | - |
| Kendall Small | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon McGhee | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Khyber Kabellis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Zach Cameron | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshon Taylor * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 35 | - |
| Braxton Huggins * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Sam Bittner * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| New Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Nate Grimes * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Noah Blackwell | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Lazaro Rojas | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Aguir Agau | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Christian Gray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter