🐻⬇️🏀

Pacific

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History
Coach: Bob Thomason

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 763 (#292) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 774 (#310) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 883 (#311) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -8.2 (#287) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -9.0 (#293) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.191 (#297) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.187 (#283) AdjNet -12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.183 (#283) AdjNet -12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.330 (#287) AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.355 (#297) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.251 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.256 (#299) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 24 More → 768 (#308) RD 143 | GP 24

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-13 vs CS Monterey Bay Otters W 75 - 63
2011-11-17 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 54 - 78
2011-11-21 vs CSU Dominguez Hills Toros W 74 - 68
2011-11-25 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 70 - 75
2011-11-28 @ Stanford Cardinal L 37 - 79
2011-12-03 vs Utah State Aggies W 65 - 57
2011-12-06 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 64 - 54
2011-12-10 @ San Francisco Dons L 69 - 79
2011-12-17 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 76 - 78
2011-12-22 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 53 - 83
2011-12-29 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 47 - 55
2012-01-02 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 73 - 78
2012-01-05 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 69 - 73
2012-01-07 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 57 - 64
2012-01-14 @ Long Beach State Beach L 66 - 76
2012-01-17 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 73 - 76
2012-01-26 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 61 - 51
2012-01-28 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 53 - 56
2012-02-04 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 72 - 64
2012-02-09 vs Long Beach State Beach L 66 - 74
2012-02-14 @ UC Davis Aggies L 64 - 73
2012-02-18 vs Idaho State Bengals W 66 - 64
2012-02-23 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 68 - 69
2012-03-01 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 61 - 76
2012-03-03 @ Cal Poly Mustangs L 38 - 67
2012-03-08 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 52 - 72

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lorenzo McCloud Lorenzo McCloud G 24 28.0 11.3 2.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 2.7 3.5 12.2 -2 17 -0.1 -0.2 34.5 14.3 77.5 -0.42 133.4 36.3
Ross Rivera Ross Rivera F 26 21.9 9.4 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.1 10.5 -12 19 -0.6 -1.2 43.6 22.2 78.8 -1.66 175.5 45.5
Travis Fulton Travis Fulton F 26 28.1 9.1 6.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.2 2.6 13.9 -8 19 -0.4 -0.6 48.5 41.9 64.3 1.08 159.8 58.1
Khalil Kelley Khalil Kelley F 26 21.4 7.0 4.7 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.6 1.6 9.5 -76 19 -4.0 -7.9 42.9 0 38.9 -5.0 182.3 42.9
Markus Duran Markus Duran G 26 26.9 6.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.8 7.0 -5 19 -0.3 -0.4 37.5 36.4 100.0 0.29 179.0 54.2
Trevin Harris Trevin Harris F 26 17.7 5.5 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.7 7.2 -39 19 -2.1 -4.6 50.0 50.0 66.7 -0.31 157.8 65.9
Colin Beatty Colin Beatty G 26 20.4 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.9 1.9 7.7 19 19 1.0 2.1 38.8 18.8 100.0 2.0 136.3 41.8
Andrew Bock Andrew Bock G 25 15.4 3.9 1.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 0.6 5.2 -73 19 -3.8 -12.5 28.6 25.0 75.0 -4.69 251.6 32.1
Rodrigo De Souza Rodrigo De Souza G 11 11.0 3.4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.7 5.1 26 9 2.9 9.2 37.5 50.0 50.0 0.87 208.3 50.0
Markcus Falley Markcus Falley - 11 9.6 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 3.6 - - - - 44.4 37.5 0.0 - 148.3 61.1
Rundell Mauge Rundell Mauge - 19 8.5 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 4.4 - - - - 45.5 0 66.7 - 158.3 45.5
Spencer Llewellyn Spencer Llewellyn G 13 6.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.8 -10 9 -1.1 -7.3 100.0 100.0 0 -1.3 1050.0 150.0
Marvin Cotton Marvin Cotton - 10 5.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.3 -15 9 -1.7 -15.9 0.0 0 0 -1.8 300.0 0.0
Adam Eakles Adam Eakles F 8 8.2 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.4 3 7 0.4 3.5 33.3 0 0 -0.64 66.7 33.3
Jordan Turner Jordan Turner F 11 5.2 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 1.1 -24 9 -2.7 -24.4 0.0 0 0 -4.48 50.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG