Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | +18.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +15 (76-61). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Kelley * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Trevin Harris * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Bock * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Travis Fulton * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Markus Duran * | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 27 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Markcus Falley | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Cotton | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Colin Beatty | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rundell Mauge | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Turner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Spencer Llewellyn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Nunnally * | 40 | 10-17 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 36 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jaime Serna * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alan Williams * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Taylor * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nate Garth | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greg Somogyi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christian Peterson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lewis Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter