Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | +12.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +5 (78-73). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo McCloud | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Markus Duran | 32 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Khalil Kelley | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Travis Fulton | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Colin Beatty | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Bock | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevin Harris | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rodrigo De Souza | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marvin Cotton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omondi Amoke | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Kwame Vaughn | 35 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| D.J. Seeley | 33 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Isiah Umipig | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Orane Chin | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Perry Webster | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Andre Hardy | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Orlando Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter