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Portland Trail Blazers

Also known as: Portland Trail Blazers
Program History

2004 Team Stats (66 games)

89.5
PPG
92.0
Opp
-2.5
Margin
44.2%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
41.8
RPG
21.0
APG
13.8
TO
89.3
Est. poss./game
88.8
Adj PPG
89.4
Adj Opp PPG
#17
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1065 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1016 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1008 (#11) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ -0.6 (#17) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ +0.5 (#14) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.460 (#18) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.4 More โ†’ 0.460 (#18) NetEff -1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.7 More โ†’ 0.481 (#17) AdjNet -0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.7 More โ†’ 0.481 (#17) AdjNet -0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.8 | AdjD 89.4 More โ†’ 0.486 (#17) AdjO 88.8 | AdjD 89.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 88.4 More โ†’ 0.506 (#14) AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 88.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.516 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.520 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 254 | GP 82 More โ†’ 1033 (#11) RD 254 | GP 82

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-29 @ Utah Jazz L 92 - 99
2003-11-01 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 104 - 85
2003-11-03 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 83 - 94
2003-11-05 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2003-11-07 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 82 - 100
2003-11-08 vs Atlanta Hawks W 90 - 83
2003-11-11 vs Toronto Raptors W 83 - 80
2003-11-13 vs Sacramento Kings W 112 - 110
2003-11-15 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 79 - 101
2003-11-17 @ Dallas Mavericks L 98 - 105
2003-11-19 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2003-11-21 vs Houston Rockets W 85 - 78
2003-11-23 @ Golden State Warriors L 72 - 78
2003-11-25 vs Washington Wizards L 80 - 81
2003-11-28 vs Brooklyn Nets W 97 - 93
2003-12-03 vs Indiana Pacers W 97 - 95
2003-12-05 vs New York Knicks W 88 - 81
2003-12-07 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 79 - 93
2003-12-09 @ Houston Rockets L 91 - 93
2003-12-10 @ San Antonio Spurs L 77 - 102
2003-12-13 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 112 - 108
2003-12-16 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 99 - 106
2003-12-18 vs Phoenix Suns W 101 - 94
2003-12-20 vs San Antonio Spurs L 91 - 101
2003-12-21 @ Sacramento Kings L 98 - 117
2003-12-23 vs Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2003-12-26 vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Incomplete score
2003-12-28 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 74 - 86
2003-12-29 @ Brooklyn Nets W 91 - 87
2003-12-31 @ Detroit Pistons L 71 - 78
2004-01-02 vs Denver Nuggets L 96 - 106
2004-01-05 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 108 - 119
2004-01-08 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 75 - 96
2004-01-09 @ Chicago Bulls W 87 - 78
2004-01-11 @ Toronto Raptors L 72 - 83
2004-01-13 @ LA Clippers L 96 - 103
2004-01-15 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2004-01-17 vs Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2004-01-18 @ Phoenix Suns L 92 - 96
2004-01-20 @ Sacramento Kings W 109 - 104
2004-01-24 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2004-01-26 @ Washington Wizards W 94 - 83
2004-01-28 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 88 - 76
2004-01-29 @ Atlanta Hawks W 93 - 85
2004-01-31 vs Chicago Bulls W 102 - 95
2004-02-02 @ Denver Nuggets L 97 - 116
2004-02-04 @ Phoenix Suns W 101 - 97
2004-02-06 @ Utah Jazz W 87 - 73
2004-02-08 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 95 - 85
2004-02-10 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2004-02-12 vs Denver Nuggets L 98 - 107
2004-02-17 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 86 - 89
2004-02-18 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2004-02-20 @ Golden State Warriors W 94 - 93
2004-02-21 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2004-02-23 @ Miami Heat W 89 - 81
2004-02-24 @ Orlando Magic W 94 - 91
2004-02-27 @ Houston Rockets L 85 - 89
2004-02-28 @ Dallas Mavericks L 91 - 111
2004-03-03 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 88 - 97
2004-03-04 vs Detroit Pistons L 68 - 83
2004-03-06 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2004-03-07 @ LA Clippers L 71 - 91
2004-03-10 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 92 - 79
2004-03-12 vs Sacramento Kings W 83 - 81
2004-03-14 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 92 - 83
2004-03-16 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 100 - 99
2004-03-17 @ Indiana Pacers L 71 - 80
2004-03-20 vs Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2004-03-22 vs Houston Rockets L 85 - 93
2004-03-24 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2004-03-27 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2004-03-29 @ New York Knicks L 91 - 92
2004-03-31 @ Boston Celtics W 105 - 98
2004-04-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 88 - 82
2004-04-03 vs New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2004-04-06 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 91 - 80
2004-04-07 vs Golden State Warriors W 87 - 81
2004-04-09 @ San Antonio Spurs L 74 - 84
2004-04-10 @ Denver Nuggets L 100 - 110
2004-04-12 vs San Antonio Spurs L 66 - 78
2004-04-14 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zach Randolph G 65 38.1 20.1 10.6 2.0 0.7 0.5 3.0 17.0 13.9 - - - - 47.9 25.0 76.7 - 52.4 48.0
Rasheed Wallace G 39 37.6 17.4 6.4 2.5 0.8 1.6 1.9 15.1 11.7 - - - - 45.1 35.0 73.2 - 52.7 49.8
Damon Stoudamire G 66 38.2 13.4 3.9 6.0 1.2 0.1 2.2 12.7 9.7 - - - - 40.0 35.4 87.2 - 50.1 47.3
Derek Anderson G 39 35.0 13.2 3.4 4.3 1.4 0.1 1.7 12.0 8.6 - - - - 37.5 30.7 82.2 - 49.1 43.7
Darius Miles G 32 28.1 12.6 4.6 1.7 1.1 0.8 2.1 10.1 8.6 - - - - 51.4 22.2 70.4 - 55.0 51.7
Jeff McInnis G 33 32.8 12.1 2.4 4.9 0.8 0.0 1.7 11.0 7.6 - - - - 46.2 34.1 75.0 - 50.9 48.2
Bonzi Wells G 12 30.5 11.8 4.9 2.7 1.6 0.2 2.4 13.6 5.2 - - - - 37.4 12.5 78.3 - 40.7 37.7
Shareef Abdur-Rahim G 24 22.7 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.8 0.6 1.5 8.0 8.0 - - - - 46.1 50.0 86.2 - 53.5 46.9
Ruben Patterson G 58 22.2 6.6 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.3 1.4 5.3 6.7 - - - - 49.2 20.0 54.7 - 51.7 49.5
Theo Ratliff G 24 31.4 6.5 7.2 0.4 0.6 4.2 1.1 5.1 12.7 - - - - 49.6 0 64.8 - 53.5 49.6
Wesley Person G 28 18.6 5.5 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.8 4.0 - - - - 42.9 44.3 72.2 - 54.6 53.0
Dale Davis G 62 22.6 4.5 5.5 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 3.8 8.3 - - - - 48.3 0 60.0 - 51.2 48.3
Qyntel Woods G 49 11.2 3.3 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 3.9 2.1 - - - - 34.9 33.3 56.8 - 39.2 37.0
Kaniel Dickens G 2 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 86.8 100.0
Dan Dickau G 14 7.4 2.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.1 - - - - 35.3 33.3 87.5 - 46.6 41.2
Vladimir Stepania G 35 10.6 2.4 2.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.3 3.6 - - - - 40.7 0 68.0 - 45.1 40.7
Eddie Gill G 17 8.0 2.4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.5 - - - - 41.4 60.0 81.2 - 55.5 46.6
Tracy Murray F 5 4.8 1.6 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.8 - - - - 33.3 40.0 0.0 - 42.4 44.4
Matt Carroll G 12 3.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 - - - - 45.5 33.3 100.0 - 54.7 50.0
Desmond Ferguson F 5 3.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.0 - - - - 28.6 20.0 0.0 - 31.7 35.7
Omar Cook G 12 7.8 0.8 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.6 - - - - 23.8 0 0 - 23.8 23.8
Travis Outlaw - 6 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 - - - - 25.0 0 50.0 - 34.7 25.0
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje G 9 2.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 - - - - 20.0 0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
Slavko Vranes - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG