Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | +2.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (105-98). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 45 | 12-25 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 41 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 34 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 36 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Qyntel Woods * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Travis Best * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Howard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter