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Northwestern State Demons

Also known as: Northwestern State Demons
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

69.5
PPG
71.4
Opp
+8.6
Margin
45.8%
FG%
25.7%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
34.0
RPG
13.0
APG
13.5
TO
78.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 989 (#396) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1066 (#331) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1125 (#34) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +16.0 (#325) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +10.0 (#139) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -32.5 More → 0.021 (#286) NetEff -32.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.618 (#87) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.785 (#94) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 32 More → 1215 (#55) RD 116 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs East Texas Baptist Tigers W 118 - 77
2012-11-12 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 71 - 67
2012-11-17 vs Hannibal-LaGrange Trojans W 92 - 43
2012-11-20 @ LSU Tigers L 95 - 102
2012-11-26 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 65 - 78
2012-11-30 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 65 - 69
2012-12-04 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 89 - 83
2012-12-15 vs Missouri Valley Vikings W 95 - 78
2012-12-29 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 61 - 79
2012-12-31 vs Le Tourneau Yellow Jackets W 102 - 52
2013-01-03 vs McNeese Cowboys W 78 - 63
2013-01-05 vs Lamar Cardinals W 86 - 58
2013-01-07 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 73 - 64
2013-01-10 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 74 - 80
2013-01-12 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 100 - 88
2013-01-17 vs Nicholls Colonels L 78 - 93
2013-01-19 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 103 - 68
2013-01-26 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 61 - 57
2013-01-31 @ Lamar Cardinals W 85 - 63
2013-02-03 @ McNeese Cowboys W 86 - 74
2013-02-07 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 85 - 73
2013-02-09 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 93 - 73
2013-02-14 @ SE Louisiana Lions W 79 - 76
2013-02-16 @ Nicholls Colonels W 84 - 79
2013-02-19 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 82 - 71
2013-02-23 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 76 - 92
2013-03-02 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 63 - 64
2013-03-07 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 66 - 51
2013-03-09 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 84 - 73
2013-03-15 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 55 - 52
2013-03-16 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 68 - 66
2013-03-22 @ Florida Gators L 47 - 79

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Lee K. Lee - 1 0.0 15.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 10.0 - - - 46.2 50.0 0.0 - 55.8 57.7
D. Hicks D. Hicks F 28 20.3 14.1 5.9 1.7 1.6 0.6 2.3 0.9 20.6 248 8.6 17.6 65.4 0 83.3 2.14 629.8 65.4
J. Perez J. Perez - 1 0.0 14.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 62.5 66.7 100.0 - 78.8 75.0
J. Upchurch J. Upchurch - 1 0.0 13.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 15.0 - - - 44.4 0 71.4 - 53.8 44.4
S. Davis S. Davis G 31 25.5 12.1 2.1 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.8 0.7 14.5 59 1.8 3.1 59.1 63.6 66.7 0.42 655.6 75.0
J. Hulbin J. Hulbin F 31 21.6 11.8 5.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.2 0.7 18.0 218 6.8 12.4 52.4 50.0 0 1.37 871.4 59.5
J. West J. West G 31 25.0 10.0 2.5 5.0 2.4 0.1 1.9 0.6 17.6 216 6.8 11.2 61.1 60.0 100.0 1.29 823.6 77.8
B. White B. White G 31 18.5 7.9 1.6 2.1 1.6 0.1 1.3 0.7 11.4 192 6.0 12.8 47.6 20.0 0 1.2 583.3 50.0
G. Roberson G. Roberson G-F 30 16.1 6.4 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.4 9.2 153 4.9 12.7 33.3 16.7 83.3 0.68 655.7 37.5
G. Stewart G. Stewart G 31 18.0 5.3 2.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.5 7.8 67 2.1 5.2 31.2 25.0 66.7 0.16 470.6 37.5
M. Frazier M. Frazier C 31 16.0 5.0 4.2 0.3 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.4 10.3 411 11.7 23.0 63.6 0.0 62.5 2.66 530.3 63.6
P. Robinson P. Robinson F 31 18.3 3.7 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.3 0.3 7.8 98 3.2 7.2 37.5 0.0 100.0 0.75 681.3 37.5
O.J. Evans O.J. Evans C 31 15.7 3.5 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 7.1 29 1.0 2.7 40.0 0 75.0 0.13 319.2 40.0
J. Bradley J. Bradley - 1 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
A. Ausmer A. Ausmer - 1 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
D. Harris D. Harris G 14 5.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.4 2 0.1 0.5 50.0 0 0.0 0.46 327.9 50.0
D. Adams D. Adams F 8 3.4 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 0 0.0 0.0 40.0 0 0 -0.03 80.0 40.0
A. Adams A. Adams F 8 2.8 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.2 -128 -5.6 -8.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.1 103.1 0.0
M. Killian M. Killian F 13 5.8 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.8 12 0.8 4.6 25.0 0.0 50.0 0.14 92.2 25.0
D. Ulak D. Ulak F 7 1.4 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Williams B. Williams F 8 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 62 1.5 2.2 0.0 0 0.0 0.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG