Model Predictions
| Model | SE Louisiana Lions | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +35 (103-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dre Evans * | 36 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | -13.5 |
| Jeffery Ricard * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -7.4 |
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -17.6 |
| Roosevelt Johnson * | 18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Jan Petrovcic * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Roger Woods | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -8.3 |
| Onochie Ochie | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +4.5 |
| Jeremy Campbell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.4 |
| Antonnio Benton | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.0 |
| Todd Nelson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 |
| Jamaal James | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.6 |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamir Davis * | 21 | 7-9 | 5-5 | 5-9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | +5.5 |
| Gary Stewart * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Patrick Robinson * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.1 |
| O.J. Evans * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Marvin Frazier * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Jalan West | 19 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | +17.0 |
| DeQuan Hicks | 19 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | +19.5 |
| James Hulbin | 17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +20.1 |
| Gary Roberson | 14 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Brison White | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +15.6 |
| Dadrian Harris | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Dustin Adams | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Matt Killian | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Austin Adams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
* = starter