🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Colorado Bears
Program History
Coach: Steve Smiley

2023 Team Stats (19 games)

72.3
PPG
78.2
Opp
-4.6
Margin
44.5%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
33.9
RPG
11.1
APG
11.7
TO
77.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 997 (#270) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1111 (#215) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +22.1 (#199) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.093 (#115) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.2 More → 0.339 (#263) NetEff -6.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.0 More → 0.047 (#113) AdjNet -26.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.044 (#113) AdjNet -26.4

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 @ Houston Cougars L 36 - 83
2022-11-11 vs Texas A&M-Commerce Lions W 80 - 77
2022-11-14 @ Baylor Bears L 62 - 95
2022-11-22 vs Colorado Christian Cougars L 69 - 70
2022-11-26 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 86 - 82
2022-11-27 @ New Mexico Lobos L 74 - 98
2022-12-03 @ Colorado State Rams W 88 - 83
2023-01-05 vs Montana State Bobcats L 56 - 77
2023-01-07 vs Montana Grizzlies L 74 - 79
2023-01-12 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 64 - 72
2023-01-14 @ Portland State Vikings W 69 - 67
2023-01-19 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 75 - 83
2023-01-21 vs Idaho Vandals W 73 - 67
2023-01-28 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 73 - 83
2023-02-02 @ Montana Grizzlies L 67 - 69
2023-02-04 @ Montana State Bobcats L 62 - 75
2023-02-06 vs Weber State Wildcats W 88 - 54
2023-02-09 vs Portland State Vikings W 88 - 79
2023-02-16 @ Idaho Vandals L 82 - 84
2023-02-25 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 82 - 85
2023-02-27 vs Idaho State Bengals W 87 - 72
2023-03-04 @ Portland State Vikings W 84 - 80
2023-03-05 @ Montana State Bobcats L 73 - 84

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dalton Knecht Dalton Knecht - 23 34.5 19.9 7.0 1.5 0.7 0.6 2.3 13.6 13.9 - - - 48.6 36.2 75.3 - 65.7 55.9
D. Kountz D. Kountz - 6 36.5 17.7 3.2 4.8 0.8 0.3 4.8 4.5 17.5 - - - 48.1 44.4 84.2 - 149.9 55.6
M. Johnson II M. Johnson II G 3 37.0 14.0 2.7 3.7 1.0 0.0 2.3 10.7 8.3 13 1.4 6.1 43.8 39.3 100.0 0.37 63.0 60.9
M. Johnson II M. Johnson II - 23 34.3 11.8 2.8 3.3 0.9 0.0 2.1 7.6 9.2 13 1.4 6.1 37.9 36.5 77.8 0.37 70.2 50.0
Riley Abercrombie Riley Abercrombie - 17 23.1 8.2 4.0 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.9 5.0 7.9 - - - 45.9 43.1 57.1 - 74.3 62.4
B. Wisne B. Wisne - 22 17.2 5.9 3.6 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.9 3.9 6.0 5 0.4 0.5 60.5 25.0 63.6 0.91 67.4 61.0
C. Shaw C. Shaw G 23 17.3 5.3 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.3 7 0.8 1.4 37.1 26.0 58.6 0.71 55.1 43.8
J. Melvin J. Melvin - 8 7.9 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.4 - - - 80.0 0 81.2 0.09 87.2 80.0
Theo Hughes Theo Hughes - 23 15.1 2.4 3.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.2 5.0 - - - 60.7 0 81.8 - 74.3 60.7
Connor Creech Connor Creech - 20 13.4 2.0 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.0 - - - 45.5 62.5 40.0 - 53.5 53.0
B. Kennedy B. Kennedy - 7 12.1 2.0 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.3 2.6 - - - 33.3 14.3 70.0 - 52.2 38.9
L. Reynolds L. Reynolds - 21 11.1 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.1 20 1.7 2.4 36.4 20.0 37.5 0.88 38.9 38.6
D. Mohr D. Mohr - 2 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Jalen Page Jalen Page - 3 2.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 51 4.6 5.5 100.0 100.0 0 1.45 150.0 150.0
Juju Ramirez Juju Ramirez - 9 9.9 0.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.9 - - - 18.2 0.0 66.7 - 29.3 18.2
Z. Bloch Z. Bloch G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 7 0.5 0.7 - - - 1.01 - -
R. Elvin R. Elvin - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG