Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mains * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Cone * | 33 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 7-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| X. Fuller * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| C. Towt * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. Lloyd * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. McLaughlin | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Wistrcill | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Fort | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Haymon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Parent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4897943 * | 35 | 10-17 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| M. Johnson II * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Abercrombie * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Hughes * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Wisne | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Shaw | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Reynolds | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Melvin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Creech | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter