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Northern Colorado Bears 73
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 83
2023-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 ✗ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 15.3% 84.7% - ✓
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4897943 * 38 11-23 2-7 3-4 8 2 0 0 0 27 14 -
M. Johnson II * 37 4-14 2-10 2-2 3 4 2 0 3 12 4 -
B. Wisne * 24 4-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
C. Creech * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
R. Abercrombie 26 3-6 3-6 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
T. Hughes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Shaw 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Reynolds 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Melvin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cone * 37 3-7 1-5 6-6 2 2 0 0 2 13 8 -
X. Fuller * 37 10-17 2-4 3-5 5 3 0 1 2 25 15 -
T. McLaughlin * 32 2-5 1-4 7-7 7 3 0 1 0 12 18 -
C. Towt * 28 4-8 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
N. Mains * 20 3-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 9 10 -
J. Wistrcill 23 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 3 7 -
L. Lloyd 12 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
O. Fort 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter