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North Dakota State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Dakota State Bison
Program History
Coach: David Richman

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

81.1
PPG
70.5
Opp
+10.6
Margin
47.4%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
35.4
RPG
15.9
APG
10.5
TO
79.8
Pace
75.7
AdjO
73.0
AdjD
#135
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1152 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1118 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1128 (#34) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +2.9 (#128) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +17.1 (#116) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.752 (#47) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.7 More → 0.673 (#121) NetEff +7.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.610 (#130) AdjNet +3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.612 (#130) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.561 (#135) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 73.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.664 (#59) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.855 (#81) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.830 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 32 More → 1206 (#61) RD 122 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Oregon State Beavers L 65 - 67
2025-11-05 @ UC Davis Aggies L 68 - 80
2025-11-11 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 90 - 68
2025-11-12 vs St. Scholastica Saints W 111 - 38
2025-11-17 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 92 - 85
2025-11-19 vs Jamestown Jimmies W 82 - 67
2025-11-26 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 56 - 43
2025-11-28 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 80 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Montana Grizzlies W 81 - 72
2025-12-13 @ Drake Bulldogs W 99 - 94
2025-12-15 vs Minnesota Crookston Golden Eagles W 101 - 67
2025-12-21 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 73 - 74
2025-12-22 @ UTEP Miners L 66 - 76
2025-12-31 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 84 - 61
2026-01-03 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 79 - 77
2026-01-08 @ Kansas City Roos W 97 - 73
2026-01-10 @ Omaha Mavericks W 78 - 76
2026-01-14 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 76 - 65
2026-01-22 @ Denver Pioneers W 82 - 77
2026-01-24 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 86 - 58
2026-01-31 @ South Dakota Coyotes W 89 - 84
2026-02-05 vs Denver Pioneers L 71 - 78
2026-02-07 vs Omaha Mavericks W 92 - 84
2026-02-14 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 83 - 66
2026-02-18 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 74 - 66
2026-02-21 vs Kansas City Roos W 95 - 59
2026-02-26 @ St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies L 62 - 84
2026-02-28 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 96 - 63
2026-03-05 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 76 - 65
2026-03-07 vs Omaha Mavericks W 74 - 50
2026-03-08 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 70 - 62
2026-03-19 @ Michigan State Spartans L 67 - 92

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Wheeler-Thomas D. Wheeler-Thomas - 29 30.5 14.8 3.5 3.0 1.1 0.0 1.6 11.1 9.7 132 6.3 14.3 42.7 40.2 79.2 0.46 58.2 53.6
Trevian Carson Trevian Carson - 32 31.2 11.7 6.3 2.8 1.7 0.4 1.5 9.2 12.2 201 8.4 14.2 48.3 36.2 79.7 0.94 57.9 54.8
M. Strickland M. Strickland - 32 24.1 11.5 3.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 1.2 8.5 7.4 147 5.9 12.2 60.1 0.0 47.7 0.22 59.4 60.1
T. Anderson T. Anderson - 32 18.2 10.5 4.9 0.8 0.4 0.9 1.2 7.2 9.1 292 12.7 22.3 50.0 37.4 65.4 -0.09 60.7 58.0
N. Feddersen N. Feddersen - 32 21.1 9.8 4.8 1.0 0.4 1.0 1.2 5.9 9.8 111 4.3 16.1 53.7 30.9 82.1 0.42 65.4 58.2
A. Stefonowicz A. Stefonowicz - 32 32.4 9.1 3.2 4.9 1.7 0.2 2.0 7.2 9.9 172 7.2 13.2 41.5 36.4 89.7 0.99 57.0 52.0
Tay Smith Tay Smith - 32 20.5 8.2 2.4 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.6 6.7 5.2 -5 -1.2 -7.3 41.1 39.9 76.5 0.3 59.1 58.2
E. Skytta E. Skytta - 25 11.9 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.3 38 2.5 13.4 55.9 42.9 36.8 0.38 56.3 58.1
C. Smith C. Smith - 22 10.0 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3.2 1.5 -10 -2.5 -94.9 38.6 24.1 100.0 -0.27 47.7 43.6
Riley Saunders Riley Saunders - 9 2.0 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 8 1.6 193.9 62.5 62.5 0 0.03 93.8 93.8
Riley Massey Riley Massey - 30 8.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.6 41 1.9 13.2 26.3 24.1 80.0 -0.11 41.3 35.5
M. Majerle M. Majerle - 18 5.5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 -22 -1.6 -17.9 27.3 12.5 100.0 -0.22 37.2 29.5
Caleb Schoenrock Caleb Schoenrock - 9 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 11 2.8 266.7 33.3 0 0 0.03 33.3 33.3
Dom Clay Dom Clay G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG