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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.9% 35.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -5 (94-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andy Stefonowicz 36 7-10 6-7 2-2 1 5 2 0 1 22 19 +5.2
Damari Wheeler-Thomas 36 3-13 2-7 6-8 3 9 3 0 2 14 14 -10.5
Trevian Carson 32 11-15 5-7 2-5 7 3 3 0 1 29 26 +10.1
Treyson Anderson 24 5-9 4-7 1-3 7 2 0 0 0 15 15 +6.2
Markhi Strickland 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 9 6 -2.3
Noah Feddersen 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -9.1
Carson Smith 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -3.4
Tay Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.0
Riley Massey 8 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 -8.6

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Quinn 38 5-10 2-4 12-12 6 6 1 0 3 24 24 +0.0
Eli Shetlar 34 5-8 5-8 1-2 3 3 1 0 5 16 10 +10.3
Okku Federiko 32 5-10 0-2 8-8 5 2 0 2 2 18 15 +6.5
Andrew Alia 28 4-6 4-6 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 15 14 +1.0
Owen Larson 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 3 5 -3.6
Jaehshon Thomas 18 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 6 5 +6.9
W. Exacte 14 2-5 0-1 2-3 6 1 0 0 2 6 6 +7.5
Braden Appelhans 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4.4
Isaiah Carr 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -8.0

* = starter