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North Carolina Tar Heels

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2021 Team Stats (4 games)

78.0
PPG
76.8
Opp
-0.2
Margin
44.0%
FG%
37.6%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
40.3
RPG
16.0
APG
13.3
TO
84.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1266 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1355 (#29) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +44.7 (#22) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.925 (#16) -

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-12-13 @ Louisville Cardinals - Preview
2020-12-17 vs Syracuse Orange W 92 - 68
2020-12-31 @ Syracuse Orange - Preview
2021-01-19 @ Syracuse Orange L 76 - 88
2021-01-28 @ Louisville Cardinals L 68 - 79
2021-02-07 vs NC State Wolfpack W 76 - 69
2021-03-22 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 71 - 80

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Bailey J. Bailey C 5 29.2 16.8 6.6 1.0 1.0 0.4 2.2 14.0 9.6 - - - 48.6 0.0 88.9 - 53.9 48.6
S. Watts S. Watts G 5 30.4 14.2 6.2 2.8 1.2 1.4 2.0 10.6 13.2 - - - 43.4 44.8 85.7 - 60.0 55.7
P. Holesinska P. Holesinska G 5 24.2 14.2 1.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.8 10.0 6.2 - - - 50.0 44.1 75.0 - 66.3 65.0
A. Ustby A. Ustby G 5 32.4 11.6 6.8 3.4 1.0 0.6 0.8 9.4 13.2 - - - 51.1 61.5 100.0 - 60.6 59.6
D. Kelly D. Kelly G 5 31.8 8.4 3.4 4.4 0.4 0.0 1.2 10.0 5.4 - - - 22.0 25.0 88.9 - 36.3 26.0
K. Todd-Williams K. Todd-Williams G 5 20.2 5.6 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.2 1.4 4.8 6.2 - - - 33.3 11.1 68.8 - 45.1 35.4
A. Poole A. Poole F 4 15.0 4.0 4.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.8 4.8 - - - 33.3 0 60.0 - 41.2 33.3
A. Zelaya A. Zelaya F 2 5.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
M. Tshitenge M. Tshitenge F 4 15.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.2 1.2 2.0 - - - 60.0 0 0.0 - 51.0 60.0
A. Young A. Young G 5 5.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
K. Tucker K. Tucker G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG