Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Watts | 40 | 10-16 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| D. Kelly | 40 | 1-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Ustby | 33 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Bailey | 32 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| P. Holesinska | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Young | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lewis | 39 | 11-21 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 27 | - |
| M. Abrams | 38 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| H. Barber | 37 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Copeland | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Craig Cruce | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Gordon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sutton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Rice | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter