Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Perez | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Crutchfield | 37 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Jones | 37 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 28 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | - |
| E. Cunane | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Boyd | 22 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Hobby | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Watts | 38 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| A. Ustby | 37 | 8-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Holesinska | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| J. Bailey | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Kelly | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Young | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Poole | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Zelaya | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter