Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ustby | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D. Kelly | 35 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. Holesinska | 28 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 10 | - |
| J. Bailey | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Watts | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Todd-Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Poole | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Evans | 36 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| O. Cochran | 30 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| L. Dixon | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| E. Balogun | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Smith | 25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Robinson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Konno | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Russell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter