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Nicholls

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History
Coach: J.P. Piper

2015 Team Stats (13 games)

64.2
PPG
75.7
Opp
-11.5
Margin
42.8%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
63.1%
FT%
32.2
RPG
11.8
APG
17.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.6
Adj PPG
70.9
Adj Opp PPG
#332
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 798 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 775 (#321) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 921 (#281) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -14.2 (#332) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -12.9 (#330) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.145 (#331) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.6 More → 0.085 (#326) AdjNet -20.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.8 More → 0.083 (#326) AdjNet -20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.231 (#332) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 70.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.328 (#325) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.202 (#324) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.218 (#322) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 26 More → 773 (#315) RD 138 | GP 26

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-17 @ North Texas Mean Green L 57 - 71
2014-11-20 @ UCLA Bruins L 74 - 107
2014-11-24 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 48 - 75
2014-11-29 @ Michigan Wolverines L 62 - 91
2014-12-06 vs Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack W 89 - 60
2014-12-13 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 43 - 86
2014-12-16 vs Arkansas Monticello Boll Weevils W 81 - 75
2014-12-18 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 54 - 79
2014-12-21 vs Troy Trojans L 64 - 65
2014-12-30 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 71 - 64
2015-01-03 @ Lamar Cardinals L 62 - 75
2015-01-10 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 54 - 71
2015-01-13 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 61 - 57
2015-01-17 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 66 - 69
2015-01-20 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 39 - 62
2015-01-24 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 71 - 61
2015-01-26 @ Northwestern State Demons L 51 - 80
2015-01-31 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals L 58 - 69
2015-02-02 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 67 - 55
2015-02-07 vs McNeese Cowboys W 70 - 59
2015-02-10 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals L 64 - 73
2015-02-14 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 59 - 65
2015-02-21 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 71 - 86
2015-02-23 vs Northwestern State Demons L 57 - 79
2015-02-28 @ McNeese Cowboys L 78 - 83
2015-03-02 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers W 89 - 79
2015-03-05 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 77 - 70
2015-03-07 @ SE Louisiana Lions W 75 - 69
2015-03-11 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers L 73 - 82

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T.J. Carpenter T.J. Carpenter G 27 27.7 10.9 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 2.7 4.1 11.4 -132 22 -6.0 -10.0 31.8 16.3 68.8 -2.37 112.5 35.5
Ja'Dante' Frye Ja'Dante' Frye F 29 27.5 10.7 3.3 0.9 1.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 10.7 -64 24 -2.7 -4.5 43.8 33.3 71.4 1.95 116.4 44.3
Amin Torres Amin Torres G 25 18.4 9.7 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.1 2.0 4.5 7.2 -91 20 -4.5 -10.6 44.6 36.5 63.3 -1.24 96.6 54.9
Sam McBeath Sam McBeath F 29 25.1 9.3 6.7 1.7 0.8 0.5 2.4 3.4 13.2 -53 24 -2.2 -4.0 49.0 38.2 63.0 0.54 113.8 55.6
Liam Thomas Liam Thomas C 29 20.7 6.4 4.3 1.3 0.3 1.6 1.2 2.3 10.4 -82 24 -3.4 -7.8 56.1 27.3 54.2 -1.88 121.5 58.3
Luka Kamber Luka Kamber F 29 18.6 5.7 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.2 3.0 5.1 -156 24 -6.5 -15.7 41.4 42.0 55.6 -4.22 86.9 58.0
Richie Lewis Richie Lewis G 26 25.6 5.0 2.2 2.6 1.7 0.2 2.9 2.6 6.2 -154 21 -7.3 -13.6 39.7 20.0 75.7 -2.04 77.7 41.2
Quinton Thomas Quinton Thomas G 19 11.6 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.3 5.1 -69 15 -4.6 -19.1 40.0 18.2 59.1 -4.45 108.1 44.0
Travis Julien Travis Julien F 27 12.9 3.0 2.6 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 4.9 -87 23 -3.8 -12.2 56.2 0.0 46.7 -3.3 106.2 56.2
JaMarkus Horace JaMarkus Horace F 29 10.9 2.6 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.3 3.2 -118 24 -4.9 -18.8 39.5 0 28.6 -4.22 84.9 39.5
Marquis Nelson Marquis Nelson G 21 10.0 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.8 1.9 -38 16 -2.4 -9.5 35.3 37.5 25.0 -2.87 111.9 44.1
Denzel Flemings Denzel Flemings F 4 8.0 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.2 - - - - 50.0 0 0 -2.56 62.5 50.0
Zach Young Zach Young G 17 10.6 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.4 1.1 -9 14 -0.6 -2.2 16.7 0.0 100.0 -0.91 45.1 16.7
S. Rillieux S. Rillieux G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG