Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.8 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +15 (86-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Dante' Frye * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Richie Lewis * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Carpenter * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sam McBeath * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Liam Thomas * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Luka Kamber | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Quinton Thomas | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Nelson | 13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Travis Julien | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JaMarkus Horace | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amin Torres | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Charles * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Walkup * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Dallas Cameron * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Parker * | 18 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Clide Geffrard | 23 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Demetrious Floyd | 18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tanner Clayton | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bobby King | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Connor Brooks | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jaxon Holden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Martin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Dotson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Johnston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter