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Morgan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History
Coach: Kevin Broadus

2011 Team Stats (3 games)

70.0
PPG
93.3
Opp
-23.3
Margin
43.5%
FG%
48.9%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
31.0
RPG
15.0
APG
19.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.4
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#253
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 935 (#200) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 974 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 1032 (#114) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -6.2 (#254) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -7.5 (#275) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.479 (#172) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.0 More → 0.285 (#245) AdjNet -8.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.1 More → 0.281 (#245) AdjNet -8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.376 (#253) AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 63.0 More → 0.443 (#229) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 63.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.392 (#224) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.406 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 29 More → 963 (#191) RD 131 | GP 29

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 81 - 79
2010-11-18 @ Providence Friars L 55 - 77
2010-11-20 @ La Salle Explorers L 74 - 79
2010-11-23 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 72 - 53
2010-11-24 @ North Florida Ospreys L 52 - 59
2010-11-29 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 67 - 73
2010-12-04 vs Coppin State Eagles W 70 - 64
2010-12-18 vs UMBC Retrievers W 75 - 62
2010-12-20 @ Syracuse Orange L 55 - 97
2010-12-27 @ Louisville Cardinals L 74 - 104
2010-12-30 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 67 - 66
2011-01-04 @ Baylor Bears L 72 - 89
2011-01-08 vs Howard Bison W 75 - 62
2011-01-10 vs Hampton Pirates W 78 - 72
2011-01-15 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 71 - 55
2011-01-22 @ Delaware State Hornets L 55 - 60
2011-01-24 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 74 - 60
2011-01-29 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 74 - 76
2011-01-31 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 68 - 66
2011-02-14 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs W 72 - 66
2011-02-19 vs VMI Keydets W 67 - 62
2011-02-21 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 71 - 54
2011-02-23 vs Delaware State Hornets W 42 - 39
2011-02-26 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 63 - 69
2011-02-28 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 60 - 68
2011-03-03 @ Coppin State Eagles L 60 - 73
2011-03-10 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 77 - 59
2011-03-11 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 61 - 48
2011-03-12 @ Hampton Pirates L 55 - 60

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
DeWayne Jackson DeWayne Jackson F 19 32.8 14.4 4.9 1.8 1.4 0.7 2.3 4.2 16.7 19 20 0.9 1.3 46.8 48.7 59.1 1.99 154.5 58.9
Kevin Thompson Kevin Thompson F 19 27.6 13.8 9.3 1.3 0.6 1.1 2.5 2.8 20.8 22 20 1.1 1.7 42.6 0 60.7 2.78 197.5 42.6
Aric Brooks Aric Brooks G-F 18 31.7 9.4 4.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 2.6 2.1 12.4 12 20 0.6 0.8 29.7 0.0 87.1 2.27 167.9 29.7
Justin Black Justin Black G 19 22.3 6.6 1.8 2.2 1.0 0.1 2.2 2.3 7.3 -49 20 -2.5 -4.9 37.2 58.8 60.0 -4.1 139.4 48.8
Rodney Stokes Rodney Stokes F-C 19 18.9 6.5 4.4 0.3 0.4 1.2 0.9 1.0 10.8 -25 20 -1.2 -3.9 57.9 0 25.0 -3.61 296.2 57.9
Larry Bastfield Larry Bastfield G 19 27.9 5.6 1.6 3.2 0.6 0.1 2.1 1.1 7.9 -38 20 -1.9 -3.1 33.3 50.0 75.0 -4.75 201.7 35.7
Ameer Ali Ameer Ali G-F 17 16.3 5.2 3.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.5 0.5 8.1 -16 19 -0.8 -2.0 33.3 0 50.0 -1.29 408.9 33.3
Adam Braswell Adam Braswell G 12 9.9 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 3.0 -12 9 -1.3 -8.3 0 0 0 -3.16 0 0
Tola Lawal Tola Lawal G 15 6.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.3 2.7 -15 16 -0.9 -8.4 20.0 0 100.0 -1.8 266.5 20.0
Gene Johnson Gene Johnson F 18 7.8 1.3 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 3.2 -8 17 -0.5 -3.2 50.0 0 50.0 -1.33 245.9 50.0
Ian Chiles Ian Chiles C 10 3.9 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.8 -20 13 -1.5 -18.3 40.0 0 66.7 -3.57 94.9 40.0
Derrick Banks Derrick Banks G 9 5.8 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.1 -32 9 -3.6 -20.6 25.0 33.3 100.0 -2.72 112.7 37.5
Justin Jackson Justin Jackson G 8 4.1 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 6 12 0.5 5.8 50.0 0.0 0 -0.5 200.0 50.0
Jake Lockhart Jake Lockhart F 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.46 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG