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2011-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears South Carolina State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 66.4% 33.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“

Actual: South Carolina State Bulldogs -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeWayne Jackson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 2 17 26 -
Kevin Thompson 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 2 10 18 -
Justin Black 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 8 13 -
Larry Bastfield 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 5 9 -
Ameer Ali 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 14 18 -
Adam Braswell 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
Aric Brooks 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 5 2 -
Gene Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 8 -
Rodney Stokes 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Tola Lawal 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 7 -
Derrick Banks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Carolina State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyvon Williams 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 10 4 0 3 8 25 -
Khalif Toombs 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 11 15 -
Presano Bell 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 4 0 9 17 -
Darnell Porter 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
Rio Pitt 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 7 13 -
Brandon Riley 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 17 18 -
Omar Sanders 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 3 1 9 15 -
Shaquille Barber 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Joseph Wright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter