Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | +21.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +30 (104-74). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aric Brooks * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Thompson * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dewayne Jackson * | 31 | 8-19 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 5 | - |
| Larry Bastfield * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Stokes * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Justin Black | 19 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Derrick Banks | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ameer Ali | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gene Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tola Lawal | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuric * | 37 | 9-13 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Preston Knowles * | 31 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Peyton Siva * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terrence Jennings | 17 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Russ Smith | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rakeem Buckles | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| George Goode | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter