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Montana State

Also known as: Montana State Bobcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1282 (#184) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1231 (#209) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +19.7 (#231) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.122 (#108) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -31.8 More → 0.024 (#115) AdjNet -31.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -32.2 More → 0.023 (#115) AdjNet -32.2

2012 Schedule & Results

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
X. Blount X. Blount - 20 25.4 11.7 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.1 1.9 3.2 12.9 - - - 39.1 36.4 71.0 - 150.1 45.3
S. Reid S. Reid F 25 23.4 10.7 3.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 2.4 11.7 - - - 43.3 45.2 77.3 - 191.6 55.0
C. Moon C. Moon - 25 26.5 10.4 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.2 1.3 2.9 11.3 - - - 50.0 48.8 85.7 - 160.6 64.6
J. Stewart J. Stewart - 12 22.8 9.1 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 2.2 1.8 11.6 - - - 45.5 42.9 80.0 1.42 165.2 52.3
T. Johnson T. Johnson F 23 25.8 8.9 5.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 2.0 2.7 13.0 5 0.7 1.0 47.5 0 76.2 1.3 145.2 47.5
M. Fall M. Fall - 24 24.8 7.8 5.5 1.0 0.5 1.4 1.6 2.0 12.6 - - - 44.7 0 73.3 - 173.5 44.7
R. Singleton R. Singleton G 25 27.4 7.6 2.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 2.3 1.6 10.7 - - - 34.1 18.2 70.0 - 189.8 36.6
J. Allou J. Allou F-C 25 18.0 4.8 3.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.9 7.7 - - - 59.1 0 20.0 - 229.2 59.1
J. Budinich J. Budinich F 22 10.0 3.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.6 5.7 - - - 35.7 40.0 0 - 285.7 50.0
M. Dison M. Dison G 25 13.9 3.1 1.6 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.2 1.1 5.4 - - - 40.7 35.3 50.0 - 135.6 51.9
P. Webb P. Webb - 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Davis S. Davis F 6 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 450.0 0.0
B. Brumwell B. Brumwell C 14 4.4 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.4 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 400.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG