Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (30.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +45 (91-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Singleton | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Stewart | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| X. Blount | 22 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| M. Fall | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Moon | 18 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Dison | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Allou | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Reid | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Budinich | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Brumwell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Snell | 26 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| K. Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Gordon | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| H. Greenwood | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Fenton | 19 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Walker | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Adams | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Dunning | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Perez | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter