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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Program History
Coach: Nick McDevitt

2025 Team Stats (12 games)

79.6
PPG
73.8
Opp
+2.7
Margin
46.3%
FG%
30.7%
3P%
67.6%
FT%
40.3
RPG
11.4
APG
11.0
TO
83.3
Pace
76.7
AdjO
73.8
AdjD
#116
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1095 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1163 (#65) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +3.3 (#113) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.558 (#138) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.558 (#139) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.628 (#115) AdjNet +4.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.628 (#115) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 73.8 More → 0.567 (#116) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 73.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 80 - 63
2024-11-16 vs Murray State Racers L 67 - 88
2024-11-21 vs Ohio Bobcats W 83 - 81
2024-11-22 @ South Florida Bulls W 95 - 88
2024-11-24 @ Bradley Braves L 69 - 80
2024-12-01 @ UAB Blazers W 76 - 69
2024-12-04 vs Rhodes Lynx W 103 - 55
2024-12-07 @ Belmont Bruins L 79 - 82
2024-12-16 vs California Baptist Lancers W 75 - 64
2024-12-19 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 67 - 65
2024-12-23 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 64 - 82
2025-01-02 @ Florida International Panthers W 73 - 69
2025-01-04 @ Liberty Flames L 63 - 73

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Porter J. Porter G 13 31.9 12.7 2.5 1.4 1.3 0.3 2.2 11.9 4.2 23 0.7 1.0 36.1 31.8 73.5 1.91 48.5 45.2
E. Mostafa E. Mostafa F 13 25.6 12.3 8.8 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.2 9.2 14.0 37 1.2 1.8 55.5 0.0 59.6 0.61 57.3 55.5
Camryn Weston Camryn Weston G 13 27.2 12.1 4.2 3.2 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.5 7.9 5 0.2 0.4 41.6 30.2 73.2 0.45 50.6 46.4
J. Counter J. Counter G 10 24.6 11.4 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.2 1.3 8.7 8.8 -8 -0.3 -0.4 49.4 36.7 65.4 0.83 57.9 55.7
K. Lands K. Lands G 11 23.6 9.3 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.8 9.6 4.2 33 1.5 3.2 34.9 26.3 76.5 1.14 44.9 42.0
J. Hall J. Hall F 1 7.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 133.3 133.3
T. Alston T. Alston F 13 18.3 6.5 5.3 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.2 3.5 9.0 -75 -3.3 -7.2 63.0 0.0 61.9 -0.11 65.1 63.0
Justin Bufford Justin Bufford G 13 25.5 6.4 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.8 5.0 5.7 80 2.4 4.1 38.5 28.1 80.0 0.5 53.1 45.4
C. Loofe C. Loofe F 13 13.5 4.6 3.5 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.3 3.3 4.9 23 1.1 4.7 53.5 28.6 60.0 0.21 57.9 55.8
T. Green T. Green G 10 13.8 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.9 -39 -2.1 -7.8 50.0 38.9 83.3 0.24 64.3 61.7
A. Oglesby A. Oglesby - 2 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.5 5 2.5 47.8 25.0 20.0 50.0 -1.3 33.8 31.2
Jack Jubenville Jack Jubenville G 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -5 -2.5 -171.4 0 0 66.7 -1.78 75.8 0
Christian Fussell Christian Fussell F 2 7.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jacob Johnson Jacob Johnson G 9 9.1 0.9 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.9 5 0.6 2.6 57.1 0 0.0 -0.22 50.8 57.1
J. Ogundele J. Ogundele F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 66 3.0 9.7 - - - 0.14 - -
Isiah Lightsy Isiah Lightsy G 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -5 -2.5 -171.4 0.0 0.0 0 -1.78 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG