Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bufford * | 40 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -6.4 |
| J. Porter * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -7.1 |
| C. Weston * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.1 |
| K. Lands * | 24 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -14.9 |
| E. Mostafa * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +6.1 |
| T. Alston | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -7.7 |
| C. Loofe | 18 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -10.3 |
| T. Green | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +9.7 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Deen * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6.7 |
| C. Davis * | 36 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| D. Hannah * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 19 | -3.0 |
| Z. Montgomery * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +9.4 |
| A. Atlason * | 24 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +7.1 |
| J. Johnson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.9 |
| C. Thomas | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.8 |
| A. Jonovic | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +9.8 |
| C. Dillon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
* = starter