Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. | 37 | 7-22 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | -12.8 |
| A. Moussa | 35 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -14.7 |
| J. Johnson | 31 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | -10.9 |
| K. Coleman | 31 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -10.0 |
| S. Silverstein | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +3.1 |
| AJ Braun | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -16.8 |
| B. Henige | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +8.0 |
| B. Stevenson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| T. Riley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Counter | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +13.9 |
| J. Porter | 29 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | +8.8 |
| C. Weston | 29 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | +9.4 |
| K. Lands | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +15.8 |
| E. Mostafa | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +2.2 |
| T. Green | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.9 |
| C. Loofe | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 |
| J. Bufford | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| T. Alston | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
| A. Oglesby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter