Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +2 (83-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Clayton * | 40 | 7-17 | 1-9 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | -2.2 |
| E. James * | 39 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -6.3 |
| J. Paveletzke * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 19 | +2.9 |
| AJ Brown * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -1.8 |
| A. Hadaway * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.9 |
| V. Searls | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -1.0 |
| A. Sheldon | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.1 |
| E. Elliott | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
| A. Evans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mostafa * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | +3.9 |
| J. Porter * | 34 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 9 | +2.4 |
| K. Lands * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | +4.4 |
| J. Counter * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +5.1 |
| J. Bufford * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +11.3 |
| C. Weston | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +1.8 |
| T. Alston | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -8.7 |
| J. Johnson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.8 |
| T. Green | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +0.1 |
| C. Loofe | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| C. Fussell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter