Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 2016

Also known as: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Program History

Coach: Nick McDevitt

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

75.4

PPG

72.0

Opp

+3.4

Margin

44.7%

FG%

34.1%

3P%

69.8%

FT%

36.1

RPG

14.3

APG

11.4

79.0

Pace

74.4

AdjO

73.8

AdjD

#152

Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1010 (#171)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	969 (#212)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More →	1033 (#132)	HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More →	+0.4 (#155)	HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More →	+15.5 (#145)	HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.456 (#208)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.7 More →	0.522 (#168)	NetEff +0.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More →	0.526 (#155)	AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.0 More →	0.527 (#155)	AdjNet +1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.4 \| AdjD 73.8 More →	0.514 (#152)	AdjO 74.4 \| AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 \| AdjD 70.9 More →	0.592 (#129)	AdjO 75.0 \| AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.789 (#143)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.754 (#141)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 \| GP 30 More →	1085 (#157)	RD 132 \| GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-05	vs	Milligan Buffaloes	W	100 - 51
2025-11-08	vs	Webster Gorloks	W	109 - 56
2025-11-12	@	Evansville Purple Aces	W	77 - 72
2025-11-19	@	Michigan Wolverines	L	61 - 86
2025-11-23	vs	Murray State Racers	W	90 - 87
2025-11-24	vs	George Washington Revolutionaries	L	79 - 92
2025-11-25	@	McNeese Cowboys	L	62 - 72
2025-12-01	vs	UAB Blazers	W	76 - 61
2025-12-17	vs	Kennesaw State Owls	W	68 - 67
2025-12-21	vs	Cumberland (TN) Phoenix	W	74 - 58
2025-12-29	@	Houston Cougars	L	60 - 69
2026-01-02	vs	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	W	88 - 51
2026-01-04	vs	Sam Houston Bearkats	W	68 - 67
2026-01-08	@	UTEP Miners	L	80 - 83
2026-01-10	@	New Mexico State Aggies	W	59 - 55
2026-01-14	@	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	L	58 - 59
2026-01-24	@	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	L	58 - 75
2026-01-29	vs	Liberty Flames	L	65 - 81
2026-01-31	vs	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	L	60 - 65
2026-02-04	vs	Florida International Panthers	L	84 - 88
2026-02-07	@	Delaware Blue Hens	L	88 - 89
2026-02-12	@	Kennesaw State Owls	W	90 - 87
2026-02-14	@	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	L	80 - 82
2026-02-18	@	Sam Houston Bearkats	L	70 - 78
2026-02-21	vs	Delaware Blue Hens	W	78 - 66
2026-02-26	vs	UTEP Miners	W	77 - 67
2026-02-28	vs	New Mexico State Aggies	W	86 - 85
2026-03-05	@	Florida International Panthers	W	73 - 67
2026-03-07	@	Missouri State Bears	W	75 - 63
2026-03-12	@	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	L	69 - 80

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
K. Lands	G	30	28.8	13.4	3.7	2.2	1.0	0.3	1.5	11.0	8.1	5	0.2	0.4	40.6	31.0	81.4	-1.0	53.8	48.8
T. Alston	F	30	28.9	12.8	7.9	1.4	0.5	1.1	1.9	8.1	13.6	23	1.1	2.0	56.1	6.7	61.9	0.26	59.7	56.4
J. Carter	G	30	26.7	10.8	3.1	3.6	0.9	0.0	1.5	9.7	7.2	8	1.3	43.0	40.9	34.1	75.9	0.02	51.2	48.1
Savon Wykle	-	1	13.0	10.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	1.0	7.0	7.0	-	-	-	57.1	40.0	0	-	71.4	71.4
S. Smith	G	30	23.0	9.2	2.3	3.4	1.2	0.5	1.4	7.6	7.5	83	4.0	9.0	45.0	37.2	75.9	-0.16	54.6	51.3
A. Oglesby	-	28	23.6	8.2	2.0	0.9	0.8	0.1	0.7	6.4	4.9	29	1.4	3.1	40.8	40.6	69.2	-0.19	58.4	56.4
C. Loofe	F	30	24.4	7.4	6.1	0.7	0.3	1.1	1.7	5.1	8.8	16	0.8	2.1	52.0	26.5	62.8	-0.22	58.2	54.9
T. Green	G	29	18.7	7.1	2.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.6	6.0	3.7	34	1.8	7.0	37.1	35.4	88.9	-0.1	55.1	52.0
M. Whitlock Jr.	-	19	12.1	4.2	1.2	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.3	3.4	3.1	312	14.2	27.4	42.2	37.3	75.0	2.37	58.5	57.0
J. Hall	F	11	8.2	2.5	1.5	0.6	0.3	0.5	0.8	2.3	2.3	12	1.1	12.8	48.0	33.3	0	-0.12	56.0	56.0
Luka Jovanovic	-	29	13.9	2.3	3.0	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.5	1.4	4.6	30	1.5	5.1	69.0	100.0	53.3	0.02	68.9	70.2
J. Dent Jr.	-	19	10.9	1.9	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.4	2.2	2.6	278	11.6	17.6	31.7	20.7	55.6	2.33	41.1	39.0
Charvez Ambrose	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jax Howard	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	13	6.5	154.5	-	-	-	-0.05	-	-
Brandon Oloumou	C	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG