Jacksonville State
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
72.7
PPG
68.4
Opp
+4.3
Margin
43.9%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
68.5%
FT%
36.8
RPG
12.1
APG
11.4
TO
66.4
Est. poss./game
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 859 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 870 (#281) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 921 (#294) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.0 (#208) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.1 (#189) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.459 (#195) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.438 (#211) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.474 (#205) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 910 (#246) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil
|
- | 32 | 29.9 | 19.5 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 14.0 | 12.4 | -25 | 27 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 45.3 | 34.6 | 65.7 | 0.12 | 54.8 | 49.4 |
AC Bryant
|
G | 31 | 27.7 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 9.7 | 7.4 | -14 | 26 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 39.7 | 39.1 | 68.5 | -0.08 | 56.0 | 54.3 |
Jacoby Hill
|
- | 32 | 30.5 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 8.3 | -55 | 27 | -2.0 | -2.7 | 51.4 | 35.5 | 70.9 | -3.37 | 60.5 | 56.4 |
Emondrek Erkins-Ford
|
- | 32 | 21.5 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 7.6 | -41 | 27 | -1.5 | -2.9 | 52.9 | 33.3 | 64.5 | -0.56 | 58.4 | 55.1 |
Jamar Franklin
|
G | 26 | 16.2 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 39 | 21 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 38.5 | 37.3 | 57.1 | 2.08 | 54.3 | 53.8 |
Jaye Nash
|
G | 32 | 25.8 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 7.0 | -5 | 27 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 30.6 | 28.6 | 69.2 | 0.59 | 45.6 | 34.3 |
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.
|
- | 29 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 3.3 | -55 | 25 | -2.2 | -4.9 | 38.8 | 34.9 | 80.8 | -0.9 | 54.4 | 50.8 |
Iaroslav Niagu
|
F | 29 | 20.8 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 7.9 | 7 | 27 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 48.9 | 0 | 74.5 | 1.02 | 55.6 | 48.9 |
Bencao Vungo
|
G | 8 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 7.5 | - | - | - | - | 48.1 | 22.2 | 66.7 | -1.6 | 54.0 | 51.9 |
Thomas Tut
|
- | 14 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | -13 | 10 | -1.3 | -8.7 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 80.0 | -2.3 | 58.7 | 52.3 |
Aitor Anabitarte
|
- | 17 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 8 | 12 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 64.7 | 0 | 85.7 | -1.5 | 73.4 | 64.7 |
Toby Nnadozie
|
G | 24 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 | -4 | 18 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 31.6 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -1.16 | 38.0 | 35.1 |
Connor Loy
|
- | 7 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.65 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Aidan Driggers
|
- | 8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.25 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Jordan Vick
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1774 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Mostapha El MoutaouakkilAC BryantJacoby HillEmondrek Erkins-FordJaye NashIaroslav Niagu
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 295-479 | 61.6 | 590 | Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 32% (188 pts) | Emondrek Erkins-Ford 18% (108 pts) | Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 37% (68 misses) | Emondrek Erkins-Ford 12% (22 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 199-474 | 42.0 | 398 | Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 34% (136 pts) | Jacoby Hill 19% (74 pts) | Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 35% (95 misses) | Emondrek Erkins-Ford 16% (44 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 15-38 | 39.5 | 30 | Emondrek Erkins-Ford 27% (8 pts) | Jacoby Hill 27% (8 pts) | Jacoby Hill 26% (6 misses) | Iaroslav Niagu 17% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 8-25 | 32.0 | 16 | Iaroslav Niagu 50% (8 pts) | Jaye Nash 25% (4 pts) | Iaroslav Niagu 29% (5 misses) | Jaye Nash 24% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 13-62 | 21.0 | 26 | Jaye Nash 31% (8 pts) | Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 23% (6 pts) | Jacoby Hill 22% (11 misses) | Jaye Nash 22% (11 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 22-53 | 41.5 | 66 | Jacoby Hill 27% (18 pts) | AC Bryant 23% (15 pts) | AC Bryant 23% (7 misses) | Jamar Franklin 19% (6 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 22-48 | 45.8 | 66 | AC Bryant 27% (18 pts) | Jacoby Hill 18% (12 pts) | AC Bryant 23% (6 misses) | Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. 19% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 70-220 | 31.8 | 210 | AC Bryant 30% (63 pts) | Jamar Franklin 20% (42 pts) | AC Bryant 30% (45 misses) | Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 21% (31 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 49-133 | 36.8 | 147 | AC Bryant 43% (63 pts) | Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. 16% (24 pts) | AC Bryant 30% (25 misses) | Jamar Franklin 15% (13 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 86-242 | 35.5 | 258 | AC Bryant 41% (105 pts) | Jamar Franklin 17% (45 pts) | AC Bryant 35% (55 misses) | Jamar Franklin 17% (27 misses) |