Jacksonville State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
83.0
PPG
78.0
Opp
+5.0
Margin
43.2%
FG%
38.8%
3P%
63.8%
FT%
37.7
RPG
18.3
APG
12.3
TO
74.8
Est. poss./game
67.9
Adj PPG
76.3
Adj Opp PPG
#300
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 824 (#259) | Preseason prior 840 (returning production + recruiting): last season 931, returning -38, transfers -30, freshmen -23 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#263) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 910 (#263) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.5 (#287) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.5 (#287) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.152 (#313) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.294 (#299) | AdjNet -16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.290 (#298) | AdjNet -16.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.342 (#300) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.342 (#302) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.297 (#296) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.297 (#297) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 881 (#276) | RD 203 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.316 (#278) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | LaGrange Panthers | W | 123 - 59 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Houston Cougars | L | 46 - 92 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | UAB Blazers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Georgia State Panthers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Stiemke
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 12.7 | 12.3 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 42.1 | 41.4 | 76.9 | -0.21 | 61.8 | 57.9 |
Chris Lockett Jr.
|
G | 3 | 32.7 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 12.7 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -2.4 | 46.2 | 55.6 | 83.3 | -1.02 | 68.1 | 65.4 |
Naas Cunningham
|
F | 3 | 27.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 33.3 | 36.4 | 40.0 | -0.35 | 44.6 | 44.4 |
Leon Horner
|
G | 3 | 23.3 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 18 | 3 | 6.0 | 10.1 | 45.5 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 0.61 | 49.2 | 47.7 |
Jace Harden
|
G | 1 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 20.3 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.24 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Ethan Croley
|
F | 3 | 23.3 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.3 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -8.0 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.05 | 56.9 | 55.6 |
Alijah Curry
|
F | 3 | 13.7 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 54.5 | 57.1 | 75.0 | -0.66 | 74.5 | 72.7 |
Williams Itumo
|
F | 2 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 6.5 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 62.5 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.35 | 61.5 | 62.5 |
Nic Hernandez
|
G | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
Ma'Shy Hill
|
F | 3 | 14.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 18 | 3 | 6.0 | 16.1 | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
Kash Polk
|
F | 3 | 13.3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 20.7 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
Jordan Vick
|
G | 3 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 31 | 3 | 10.3 | 61.0 | 28.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.53 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
Grant Gondrezick II
|
G | 3 | 11.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 10.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 19.0 | 14.3 |
Marvin Christie III
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -26 | 2 | -13.0 | -74.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Brandon Walker
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
198 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jordan StiemkeChris Lockett Jr.Naas CunninghamLeon HornerEthan CroleyWilliams ItumoGrant Gondrezick II
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 28-40 | 70.0 | 56 | Ethan Croley 29% (16 pts) | Jordan Stiemke 14% (8 pts) | Ethan Croley 25% (3 misses) | Jordan Stiemke 17% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 11-26 | 42.3 | 22 | Leon Horner 36% (8 pts) | Ma'Shy Hill 27% (6 pts) | Naas Cunningham 27% (4 misses) | Ethan Croley 20% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-9 | 11.1 | 2 | Leon Horner 100% (2 pts) | - | Grant Gondrezick II 38% (3 misses) | Naas Cunningham 38% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Williams Itumo 100% (2 pts) | - | Leon Horner 50% (2 misses) | Chris Lockett Jr. 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-16 | 31.2 | 10 | Leon Horner 40% (4 pts) | Chris Lockett Jr. 20% (2 pts) | Naas Cunningham 27% (3 misses) | Chris Lockett Jr. 18% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Jordan Stiemke 100% (6 pts) | - | Jordan Stiemke 71% (5 misses) | Leon Horner 14% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-12 | 25.0 | 9 | Chris Lockett Jr. 67% (6 pts) | Naas Cunningham 33% (3 pts) | Jordan Stiemke 22% (2 misses) | Alijah Curry 11% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 13-35 | 37.1 | 39 | Jordan Stiemke 46% (18 pts) | Naas Cunningham 23% (9 pts) | Naas Cunningham 27% (6 misses) | Chris Lockett Jr. 18% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-16 | 43.8 | 21 | Chris Lockett Jr. 29% (6 pts) | Naas Cunningham 29% (6 pts) | Leon Horner 33% (3 misses) | Chris Lockett Jr. 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 15-30 | 50.0 | 45 | Chris Lockett Jr. 40% (18 pts) | Jordan Stiemke 20% (9 pts) | Jordan Stiemke 33% (5 misses) | Naas Cunningham 33% (5 misses) |