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Liberty Flames

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Liberty Flames
Program History
Coach: Ritchie McKay

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

78.2
PPG
70.7
Opp
+7.5
Margin
50.9%
FG%
39.5%
3P%
71.8%
FT%
28.8
RPG
17.0
APG
8.4
TO
70.3
Pace
76.1
AdjO
72.9
AdjD
#125
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1084 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1186 (#57) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1078 (#71) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.1 (#126) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +16.5 (#126) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.638 (#89) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.8 More → 0.752 (#92) NetEff +10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.624 (#127) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.624 (#127) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.572 (#125) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 72.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.602 (#117) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.837 (#92) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.803 (#90) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 31 More → 1224 (#55) RD 115 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 98 - 57
2025-11-07 vs Charleston Cougars W 90 - 75
2025-11-09 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 88 - 68
2025-11-17 vs Carolina University Bruins W 98 - 46
2025-11-24 @ Vermont Catamounts W 79 - 73
2025-11-25 vs Towson Tigers L 69 - 72
2025-11-26 @ Bradley Braves L 64 - 74
2025-12-16 vs Midway University Eagles W 95 - 57
2025-12-20 @ Dayton Flyers W 64 - 61
2025-12-28 @ Florida International Panthers W 97 - 94
2026-01-02 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 81 - 73
2026-01-04 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 78 - 69
2026-01-08 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 72 - 56
2026-01-10 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 82 - 74
2026-01-15 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 73 - 71
2026-01-21 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 76 - 69
2026-01-24 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 67 - 51
2026-01-29 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 81 - 65
2026-02-04 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 75 - 69
2026-02-07 vs Missouri State Bears W 79 - 76
2026-02-11 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 77 - 75
2026-02-14 @ UTEP Miners W 73 - 64
2026-02-19 vs Florida International Panthers W 90 - 89
2026-02-21 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 73 - 94
2026-02-26 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 65 - 74
2026-02-28 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 81 - 78
2026-03-05 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 71 - 76
2026-03-07 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 79 - 72
2026-03-11 vs Missouri State Bears L 69 - 77
2026-03-17 @ George Mason Patriots W 77 - 71
2026-03-21 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 63 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Decker Jr. B. Decker Jr. G 31 33.9 16.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 11.4 9.1 129 6.1 9.5 50.4 46.8 85.5 0.39 67.7 64.9
K. Metheny K. Metheny G 30 34.3 13.4 3.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 10.4 8.5 196 8.2 15.2 45.4 39.9 76.5 0.54 61.4 60.2
Z. Cleveland Z. Cleveland F 30 35.3 12.1 7.7 6.8 1.3 1.1 3.1 8.3 17.6 203 8.8 18.6 59.8 0.0 54.1 1.11 60.1 59.8
C. Porter C. Porter G 30 34.6 11.2 3.1 3.5 1.5 0.1 1.3 8.4 9.6 22 1.0 1.8 41.3 35.6 90.9 0.18 58.8 52.8
Jj Harper Jj Harper - 31 26.7 10.8 2.5 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.5 6.5 10.4 139 6.6 12.3 59.5 37.7 75.3 0.74 69.3 66.0
J. Smith J. Smith - 30 15.4 7.5 3.7 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 4.2 7.6 135 5.2 12.4 61.4 46.7 79.2 0.12 69.6 64.2
Zander Carter Zander Carter - 31 12.5 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.8 117 5.8 23.7 49.3 31.4 47.5 0.47 56.6 57.2
Ryan Jones Jr. Ryan Jones Jr. F 24 4.7 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.9 0.9 17 0.9 12.1 40.0 27.3 0 -0.24 50.0 50.0
Tj Drain Tj Drain - 8 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.8 13 1.6 85.0 70.0 0 0.0 -0.01 64.3 70.0
Z. Yates Z. Yates F 26 5.6 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.6 1.3 3 0.2 1.5 34.1 35.3 60.0 -0.53 49.8 48.8
JC Shirer Jr. JC Shirer Jr. G 8 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 -4 -0.6 -18.2 71.4 50.0 0 -0.32 85.7 85.7
Brady Kester Brady Kester - 5 4.4 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.6 5 0.7 23.3 100.0 0 0 -0.18 100.0 100.0
Drew Grimes Drew Grimes - 17 2.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 -7 -0.5 -15.3 60.0 0.0 53.3 -0.33 60.3 60.0
Torr Sorensen Torr Sorensen - 12 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 16 1.6 94.3 28.6 28.6 100.0 -0.16 50.8 42.9
I. Ihnen I. Ihnen F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 2.0 102.1 0 0 0 0.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG