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Michigan State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2016 Team Stats (31 games)

80.3
PPG
63.7
Opp
+16.6
Margin
48.9%
FG%
44.0%
3P%
72.0%
FT%
41.9
RPG
20.7
APG
11.8
TO
79.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1816 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1596 (#12) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +41.9 (#6) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.908 (#1) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.8 More → 0.895 (#1) NetEff +19.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.7 More → 0.907 (#4) AdjNet +19.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.8 More → 0.908 (#4) AdjNet +19.8

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 82 - 55
2015-11-20 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 92 - 46
2015-11-23 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 89 - 65
2015-11-26 vs Boston College Eagles W 99 - 68
2015-12-05 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 76 - 33
2015-12-09 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 78 - 35
2015-12-12 vs Florida Gators W 58 - 52
2015-12-19 @ Northeastern Huskies W 78 - 58
2015-12-22 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 99 - 93
2015-12-29 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 70 - 83
2016-01-02 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 69 - 61
2016-01-07 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 79 - 54
2016-01-10 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 92 - 65
2016-01-14 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 59 - 76
2016-01-17 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 76 - 77
2016-01-20 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 71 - 72
2016-01-23 vs Maryland Terrapins W 74 - 65
2016-01-28 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 76 - 45
2016-01-31 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 96 - 62
2016-02-06 @ Michigan Wolverines W 89 - 73
2016-02-09 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 81 - 82
2016-02-14 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 88 - 69
2016-02-18 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 69 - 57
2016-02-23 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 81 - 62
2016-02-28 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 88 - 57
2016-03-02 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 97 - 66
2016-03-05 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 91 - 76
2016-03-11 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 81 - 54
2016-03-12 vs Maryland Terrapins W 64 - 61
2016-03-13 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 66 - 62
2016-03-18 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 81 - 90

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Valentine D. Valentine G 27 32.7 18.2 7.5 7.8 1.1 0.2 2.8 13.9 18.1 139 5.6 5.1 46.5 44.9 82.8 1.89 60.9 58.4
B. Forbes B. Forbes G 31 28.0 14.6 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.8 10.0 7.8 118 3.9 4.8 48.2 48.6 84.1 1.82 67.1 64.6
M. Costello M. Costello F 31 23.0 11.3 8.5 1.3 0.7 1.2 1.1 7.9 14.1 178 6.1 7.1 57.6 33.3 74.7 1.99 61.6 58.0
E. Harris E. Harris G 31 22.2 9.8 2.8 2.2 0.3 0.1 1.5 7.4 6.2 89 4.0 4.9 44.3 46.1 78.2 1.56 57.9 53.3
D. Davis D. Davis - 31 18.4 7.2 5.5 0.8 0.3 1.9 0.8 5.7 9.2 14 0.7 0.9 58.0 0 58.8 1.25 58.7 58.0
M. Clark II M. Clark II F 27 10.3 4.0 2.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 3.0 4.1 - - - 53.8 40.0 72.2 - 62.0 60.0
G. Schilling G. Schilling F 24 12.5 3.8 3.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.8 4.5 7 0.4 0.6 50.0 0 61.5 1.14 54.1 50.0
M. McQuaid M. McQuaid G 31 15.7 3.4 0.9 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.8 3.3 2.5 39 2.8 4.8 37.3 37.3 72.7 1.12 49.6 48.0
J. Bess J. Bess G 28 10.1 3.0 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.1 3.8 59 4.9 8.4 45.8 12.5 57.7 0.96 51.9 46.6
A. Ellis III A. Ellis III G 30 8.0 2.9 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.2 3.6 - - - 43.1 41.2 73.9 0.88 57.9 53.8
L. Nairn Jr. L. Nairn Jr. G 24 17.4 2.8 1.2 3.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 2.8 3.8 68 3.8 7.5 41.2 22.2 52.9 1.14 44.4 42.6
K. Goins K. Goins F 22 10.2 1.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 4.1 10 1.4 2.0 60.9 0 61.1 0.75 63.1 60.9
K. Ahrens K. Ahrens G 24 3.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 - - - 41.7 30.8 70.0 - 54.6 50.0
C. Wollenman C. Wollenman F 28 5.7 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 2.1 24 4.8 9.6 61.1 0 69.2 0.31 65.3 61.1
M. Van Dyk M. Van Dyk F 21 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3 - - - 50.0 0 69.2 - 58.3 50.0
G. Roy G. Roy G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG