Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -31 (66-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Valentine * | 30 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | +13.4 |
| B. Forbes * | 27 | 11-18 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 20 | - |
| M. Costello * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | +13.5 |
| D. Davis * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Harris * | 21 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +3.6 |
| A. Ellis III | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +8.7 |
| M. Clark II | 12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. McQuaid | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.3 |
| G. Schilling | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Wollenman | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Bess | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.8 |
| M. Van Dyk | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Foreman * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Sanders * | 32 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 6 | -7.3 |
| J. Laurent * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -7.7 |
| B. Daniels * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | -1.7 |
| G. Lewis * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.3 |
| O. Grier | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -9.1 |
| I. Diallo | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -8.2 |
| M. Williams | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Goode | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter