Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bates-Diop * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Loving * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -3.0 |
| J. Lyle * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -3.8 |
| M. Mitchell * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
| T. Thompson * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Harris | 22 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -0.7 |
| K. Williams | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Giddens | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -3.6 |
| D. Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Valentine * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | +8.3 |
| B. Forbes * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Costello * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +8.1 |
| D. Davis * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Harris * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.9 |
| G. Schilling | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +7.7 |
| M. McQuaid | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.8 |
| M. Clark II | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Wollenman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bess | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Van Dyk | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter