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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 16.1% 83.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bates-Diop * 34 2-10 0-2 0-1 6 2 1 2 0 4 5 -
M. Loving * 33 3-8 0-3 3-4 6 1 0 0 4 9 4 -3.0
J. Lyle * 29 3-8 1-3 3-4 3 1 2 0 5 10 3 -3.8
M. Mitchell * 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 2 1 +2.3
T. Thompson * 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 4 -
A.J. Harris 22 4-8 0-3 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 8 1 -0.7
K. Williams 18 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 3 -
D. Giddens 17 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 0 7 8 -3.6
D. Bell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Valentine * 31 6-15 3-10 4-4 9 8 2 1 1 19 23 +8.3
B. Forbes * 27 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
M. Costello * 24 4-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 10 10 +8.1
D. Davis * 22 6-12 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 12 10 -
E. Harris * 21 4-9 1-2 4-5 2 3 0 0 0 13 9 -
L. Nairn Jr. 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 +4.9
G. Schilling 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 3 5 3 +7.7
M. McQuaid 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.8
M. Clark II 12 2-3 1-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
A. Ellis III 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Wollenman 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bess 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
M. Van Dyk 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Ahrens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter