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Memphis

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Memphis Tigers
Program History
Coach: Tubby Smith

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

62.8
PPG
79.4
Opp
-16.6
Margin
39.1%
FG%
23.9%
3P%
75.3%
FT%
28.2
RPG
13.2
APG
9.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.3
Adj PPG
69.1
Adj Opp PPG
#91
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1085 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1079 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 978 (#203) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +5.7 (#90) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +1.9 (#136) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.628 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.742 (#85) AdjNet +9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.744 (#85) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.615 (#91) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 69.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.484 (#180) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.595 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.569 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 32 More → 1067 (#109) RD 131 | GP 32

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-14 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 94 - 75
2016-11-16 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 68 - 54
2016-11-19 vs Savannah State Tigers W 99 - 86
2016-11-22 vs McNeese Cowboys W 104 - 65
2016-11-25 vs Providence Friars L 51 - 60
2016-11-26 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 100 - 92
2016-11-30 vs Jackson State Tigers W 84 - 69
2016-12-03 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 77 - 85
2016-12-10 vs UAB Blazers W 62 - 55
2016-12-13 vs Monmouth Hawks L 79 - 82
2016-12-17 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 99 - 94
2016-12-21 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 95 - 71
2016-12-27 vs SMU Mustangs L 54 - 58
2016-12-30 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 70 - 54
2017-01-05 vs UConn Huskies W 70 - 61
2017-01-08 @ Tulane Green Wave W 80 - 59
2017-01-11 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 71 - 81
2017-01-14 vs South Florida Bulls W 62 - 56
2017-01-19 @ Houston Cougars W 70 - 67
2017-01-22 vs UCF Knights W 70 - 65
2017-01-25 @ Temple Owls L 66 - 77
2017-01-28 vs East Carolina Pirates W 57 - 50
2017-02-02 @ South Florida Bulls W 85 - 75
2017-02-04 @ UCF Knights L 57 - 72
2017-02-07 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 66 - 44
2017-02-12 vs Temple Owls L 62 - 74
2017-02-16 @ UConn Huskies L 62 - 65
2017-02-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 74 - 87
2017-02-26 vs Houston Cougars L 71 - 72
2017-03-02 vs Tulane Green Wave W 92 - 70
2017-03-04 @ SMU Mustangs L 62 - 103
2017-03-10 @ UCF Knights L 54 - 84

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dedric Lawson Dedric Lawson F 19 34.1 18.9 9.4 2.5 1.3 2.5 2.3 5.3 27.0 -59 12 -4.9 -6.3 42.0 34.6 77.5 1.5 153.1 46.5
Markel Crawford Markel Crawford G 19 32.1 12.6 3.9 1.7 1.3 0.1 1.1 3.1 15.3 -51 12 -4.2 -5.7 37.3 33.3 91.7 1.69 185.9 44.9
K.J. Lawson K.J. Lawson G 19 32.3 12.2 7.5 2.5 0.4 0.6 2.3 3.9 17.1 -74 12 -6.2 -8.2 39.2 30.8 66.7 -0.87 143.9 41.9
Jeremiah Martin Jeremiah Martin G 19 34.8 10.8 3.6 4.8 1.7 0.6 1.8 3.5 16.2 -70 12 -5.8 -7.5 51.5 29.4 71.0 0.44 128.7 55.3
Jimario Rivers Jimario Rivers F 19 21.7 5.6 3.5 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.7 8.6 -52 12 -4.3 -8.7 57.6 0.0 41.7 -1.07 138.5 57.6
Craig Randall Craig Randall G 19 17.9 4.6 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.9 1.4 5.6 -7 12 -0.6 -1.5 26.9 12.5 25.0 0.63 158.5 30.8
Chad Rykhoek Chad Rykhoek F 11 14.8 4.2 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.1 7.1 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.75 2300.0 0.0
Keon Clergeot Keon Clergeot G 5 9.4 4.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.4 1.6 -31 10 -3.1 -11.3 29.4 20.0 80.0 -1.54 46.7 35.3
Christian Kessee Christian Kessee G 18 7.7 1.8 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.2 -19 11 -1.7 -14.4 28.6 18.2 0 -1.52 117.9 35.7
Jonathan Bins Jonathan Bins G 5 2.6 1.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 -0.66 125.0 75.0
Kaleb Castro Kaleb Castro G 4 2.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -0.62 150.0 150.0
Alex Moffatt Alex Moffatt F 6 3.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 - - - - 25.0 0 0 -0.42 50.0 25.0
Jake McDowell Jake McDowell G 8 6.2 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0 -34 7 -4.9 -41.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4.21 104.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG