Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | +21.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +41 (103-62). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedric Lawson * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Markel Crawford * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Lawson * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Chad Rykhoek * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Keon Clergeot | 19 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jimario Rivers | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Craig Randall II | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Kessee | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kaleb Castro | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Bins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Moffatt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Brown * | 35 | 9-13 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 28 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jarrey Foster | 30 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Ben Emelogu II | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dashawn McDowell | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Leo Kontopoulos | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Pyle | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter