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2016-12-27

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 85.4% 14.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% -
Log Adjusted 93.9% 6.1% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers -4 (54-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ojeleye * 39 6-9 3-3 2-6 11 0 0 2 1 17 20 -
S. Brown * 38 5-15 1-4 3-4 8 6 1 0 2 14 12 -
S. Milton * 37 3-10 2-6 2-2 3 3 0 1 3 10 4 -
J. Foster * 34 2-8 0-3 1-2 7 1 1 2 1 5 7 -
B. Moore * 29 3-8 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 0 3 9 6 -
B. Emelogu II 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
D. McDowell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Wilfong 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Clergeot 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Martin * 40 5-11 0-3 6-9 4 2 1 2 1 16 13 -
K.J. Lawson * 40 2-9 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
D. Lawson * 40 4-12 0-3 6-8 6 1 2 5 1 14 15 -
M. Crawford * 40 5-12 2-3 0-0 5 3 3 1 0 12 12 -
J. Rivers * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Randall II 17 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -

* = starter